{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/16263","as_of":"2026-10-24T12:38:41.520708Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Macron out by...?\" — 5 markets; highest \"December 31, 2026\" at 4% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/16263","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025"},"source":"polymarket","id":"16263","ticker":"macron-out-in-2025","slug":"macron-out-in-2025","title":"Macron out by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-qFUc7czZE3Ev.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-qFUc7czZE3Ev.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-03T19:35:04.095066Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2223315.941802,"volume_24hr":3398.6215490000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.434831619262695,"normalized_volume":48.50693893432617,"liquidity":67168.59107,"open_interest":75091.42829999999,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"1378","slug":"france","label":"France"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101619","slug":"macron","label":"Macron"},{"id":"101588","slug":"2025-predictions","label":"2025 Predictions"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100453","slug":"resign","label":"resign"},{"id":"100282","slug":"french-election","label":"French Election"},{"id":"104091","slug":"french-elections","label":"French Elections"},{"id":"106387","slug":"france-riots","label":"France Riots"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.0435,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3378.2133850000005,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T12:22:05.233460Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:22:05.233460Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025","chart_24h":[144.585498,144.585498,144.585498,144.585498,144.585498,144.585498,144.585498,144.585498,20.408164,20.408164,838.6997329999999,1298.6851179999999,1398.6851179999999,1398.6851179999999,1398.6851179999999,1398.6851179999999,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1378.276954,1400.476954],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3206940","event_id":"16263","slug":"macron-out-by-december-31-2026-20260728190614227","question":"Macron out by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0435,0.9565],"probability":0.0435,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:58.856981Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":94444.35480600002,"volume_24hr":3398.6215490000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":3378.2133850000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.35939598083496,"normalized_volume":38.503238677978516,"liquidity":67154.1079,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T12:22:05.974619Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:22:05.974619Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:25:58.523444Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025/macron-out-by-december-31-2026-20260728190614227","event_title":"Macron out by...?","chart_24h":[0.0445,0.0395,0.0485,0.0515,0.0505,0.0485,0.05,0.0485,0.0485,0.049,0.0495,0.0495,0.0495,0.05,0.0495,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2694508","event_id":"16263","slug":"macron-out-by-july-31-2026-20260626155530286","question":"Macron out by July 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-26T18:41:32.418846Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T06:11:51Z","result":"no","volume":60827.430927999994,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.602561950683594,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T08:24:13.988566Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T19:26:36.155462Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T16:02:16.955191Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025/macron-out-by-july-31-2026-20260626155530286","event_title":"Macron out by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"517231","event_id":"16263","slug":"macron-out-in-2025-834","question":"Macron out in 2025?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron+tight+lip.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-01-03T19:33:19.059000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T09:08:43Z","result":"no","volume":1386219.767204,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":58.67802429199219,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025/macron-out-in-2025-834","event_title":"Macron out by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"597964","event_id":"16263","slug":"macron-out-by-june-30-2026-273","question":"Macron out by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-09-14T21:21:35.401000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T06:02:10Z","result":"no","volume":476199.881442,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.14622497558594,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T06:05:58.619492Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T00:38:56.131670Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025/macron-out-by-june-30-2026-273","event_title":"Macron out by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"623939","event_id":"16263","slug":"macron-out-by-october-31-2025","question":"Macron out by October 31, 2025?","group_item_title":"October 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-by-october-31-2025-dbY7JWMjONlK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron+tight+lip.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-06T20:49:31.147004Z","end_date":"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-11-01T06:28:10Z","result":"no","volume":205624.507422,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.91084289550781,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/macron-out-in-2025/macron-out-by-october-31-2025","event_title":"Macron out by...?","chart_24h":null}]}