{"source":"polymarket","id":"168384","ticker":"von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026","slug":"von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026","title":"Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026-FYvm7cj05VSV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026-FYvm7cj05VSV.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-16T17:41:10.671902Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32087.407197999997,"volume_24hr":10323.3,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.479965209960938,"normalized_volume":23.201488494873047,"liquidity":17790.6607,"open_interest":5102.597244,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100410","slug":"europe","label":"Europe"},{"id":"100262","slug":"european-union","label":"European Union "},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1476","slug":"eu","label":"eu"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0049999999999999906,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9364.07,"updated_at":"2026-06-14T08:50:52.604755Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T08:50:52.604755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026","chart_24h":[959.23,959.23,959.23,959.23,150.0,150.0,150.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2060.0,5475.8,7214.65,8967.5,10323.3,10323.3,10323.3,10323.3],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1198966","event_id":"168384","slug":"von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026","question":"Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026-FYvm7cj05VSV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026-FYvm7cj05VSV.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-16T17:39:16.771535Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32087.407197999997,"volume_24hr":10323.3,"prob_24h_change":-0.0049999999999999906,"volume_24h_change":9364.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.808670043945312,"normalized_volume":27.617481231689453,"liquidity":15336.8203,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["European Union"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T06:12:37.202940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T06:10:11.339424Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026","event_title":"Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.105,0.1,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.095,0.1,0.1,0.095,0.1,0.1,0.1]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/168384","as_of":"2026-06-14T09:02:32.788593Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?\" — top market at 10% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}