{"source":"polymarket","id":"174503","ticker":"cdc-issues-level-4-warning-by-december-31-647","slug":"cdc-issues-level-4-warning-by-december-31-647","title":"CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-cdc-issue-a-level-3-warning-by-dec-31-2025-CAG97CPYu69L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-cdc-issue-a-level-3-warning-by-dec-31-2025-CAG97CPYu69L.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-19T20:34:04.191873Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71929.38894099998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.298580169677734,"liquidity":4558.0836,"open_interest":3570.759094,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"570","slug":"pandemics","label":"Pandemics"},{"id":"103037","slug":"climate-science","label":"Climate & Science"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"101894","slug":"disease","label":"disease"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-52.480000000000004,"updated_at":"2026-06-23T01:35:06.027148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T01:35:06.027148Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cdc-issues-level-4-warning-by-december-31-647","chart_24h":[52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,52.480000000000004,17.02,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1219988","event_id":"174503","slug":"cdc-issues-level-4-warning-by-december-31-647","question":"CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-cdc-issue-a-level-3-warning-by-dec-31-2025-CAG97CPYu69L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-cdc-issue-a-level-3-warning-by-dec-31-2025-CAG97CPYu69L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-19T20:34:04.191873Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":71929.38894099998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-52.480000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.66812515258789,"liquidity":4550.4836,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T22:02:08.859888Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T21:59:20.817381Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/cdc-issues-level-4-warning-by-december-31-647/cdc-issues-level-4-warning-by-december-31-647","event_title":"CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.19]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/174503","as_of":"2026-06-23T01:48:22.210080Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}