{"source":"polymarket","id":"18571","ticker":"will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","slug":"will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","title":"Will any country leave NATO by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nA country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-13T23:08:41.618074Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1165207.927134001,"volume_24hr":2236.4075000000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.896020889282227,"normalized_volume":41.21988296508789,"liquidity":54897.83692,"open_interest":112528.823685,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"192","slug":"nato","label":"NATO"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.047,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21.14,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:46.789869Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:46.789869Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","chart_24h":[4468.337828,4559.497828,3559.4978279999996,3638.1404959999995,3623.1444979999997,3622.4484979999997,3628.2429979999993,3629.182997999999,3292.3384979999987,3298.0954979999988,3296.0991649999987,3290.189164999999,3278.605832999999,3278.285832999999,3278.285832999999,3278.285832999999,3202.8814999999986,3209.0674999999987,3208.766999999999,3210.1404999999986,3212.7119999999986,3213.5119999999984,3211.8789999999985,3213.1909999999984,3213.1909999999984,3214.2009999999987,3214.2009999999987,217.08099999999996,2217.081,2215.541,2238.4525000000003,2240.1325,2239.1405,2236.4075000000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1807912","event_id":"18571","slug":"will-any-country-leave-nato-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.047,0.953],"probability":0.047,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T15:43:38.314111Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":168676.97856799987,"volume_24hr":21.14,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":21.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.2296414375305176,"normalized_volume":40.153602600097656,"liquidity":24340.84614,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T09:33:20.735994Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T09:30:37.393915Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025/will-any-country-leave-nato-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Will any country leave NATO by...?","chart_24h":[0.047,0.047,0.047]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"629267","event_id":"18571","slug":"will-any-country-leave-nato-by-june-30-2026","question":"Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nA country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-09T22:25:37.070000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":719489.676144001,"volume_24hr":2215.2675000000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005,"volume_24h_change":-2252.5303279999994,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.977853775024414,"normalized_volume":50.415489196777344,"liquidity":30316.62088,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:40:36.488548Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:37:24.379938Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025/will-any-country-leave-nato-by-june-30-2026","event_title":"Will any country leave NATO by...?","chart_24h":[0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"523413","event_id":"18571","slug":"will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","question":"Will any country leave NATO in 2025?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nA country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025-d6BB5x1Nv0DA.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-02-13T23:07:31.891000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T08:14:37Z","volume":277041.272422,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.53254318237305,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025/will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025","event_title":"Will any country leave NATO by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/18571","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:02:00.567007Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will any country leave NATO by...?\" — top market at 0% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}