{"source":"polymarket","id":"190781","ticker":"openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30","slug":"openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30","title":"OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T17:51:20.116766Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39363.377582,"volume_24hr":1394.0407449999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.172834396362305,"normalized_volume":24.58219337463379,"liquidity":1043.84855,"open_interest":5777.115858,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"101644","slug":"chatgpt","label":"chatgpt"},{"id":"102251","slug":"math","label":"Math"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"104736","slug":"gpt-5pt5","label":"GPT-5.5"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"60%+","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999949,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-491.395166,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:33.833926Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:33.833926Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30","chart_24h":[540.908853,540.908853,571.818853,571.818853,571.818853,571.818853,571.818853,571.818853,571.818853,571.818853,547.018853,547.018853,547.018853,547.018853,547.018853,1874.746764,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1850.033077,1393.180745,1393.180745,1393.180745,1394.0407449999998],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1280323","event_id":"190781","slug":"will-any-openai-gpt-model-score-at-least-60-on-the-frontiermath-exam","question":"Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?","group_item_title":"60%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.26,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T17:49:49.614955Z","end_date":"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27327.867245,"volume_24hr":30.61,"prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999949,"volume_24h_change":-491.395166,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.952638626098633,"normalized_volume":26.769445419311523,"liquidity":644.1572,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:04:05.080370Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:34.360843Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30/will-any-openai-gpt-model-score-at-least-60-on-the-frontiermath-exam","event_title":"OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.405,0.405,0.4,0.405,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.395,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.405,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1280324","event_id":"190781","slug":"will-any-openai-gpt-model-score-at-least-70-on-the-frontiermath-exam","question":"Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?","group_item_title":"70%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.148,0.852],"probability":0.148,"spread":0.132,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T17:49:51.150743Z","end_date":"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12035.510336999998,"volume_24hr":1328.8879109999998,"prob_24h_change":0.062,"volume_24h_change":1279.3742239999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.484554290771484,"normalized_volume":22.644433975219727,"liquidity":369.92172,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:03:43.291229Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:34.360843Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30/will-any-openai-gpt-model-score-at-least-70-on-the-frontiermath-exam","event_title":"OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.086,0.0855,0.0855,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.086,0.0855,0.086,0.1785,0.1995,0.1415,0.197,0.1315,0.19,0.1945,0.2005,0.2015,0.2015,0.196,0.1465,0.147,0.15,0.15,0.152]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1280321","event_id":"190781","slug":"will-any-openai-gpt-model-score-at-least-45-on-the-frontiermath-exam","question":"Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Exam?","group_item_title":"45%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-29T17:49:49.107351Z","end_date":"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-06T12:19:43Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:51.008859Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:51.008859Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30/will-any-openai-gpt-model-score-at-least-45-on-the-frontiermath-exam","event_title":"OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1280322","event_id":"190781","slug":"will-any-openai-gpt-model-score-at-least-50-on-the-frontiermath-exam","question":"Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?","group_item_title":"50%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-29T17:49:49.361764Z","end_date":"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-06T14:53:01Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:51.008859Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:51.008859Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30/will-any-openai-gpt-model-score-at-least-50-on-the-frontiermath-exam","event_title":"OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/190781","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:10:07.043263Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?\" — top market at 15% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}