{"source":"polymarket","id":"191768","ticker":"anthropic-claude-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30","slug":"anthropic-claude-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30","title":"Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T05:03:31.298217Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65915.04089,"volume_24hr":1171.875711,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.876046180725098,"normalized_volume":27.95223045349121,"liquidity":401.6756,"open_interest":5403.471614000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"103648","slug":"claude-5","label":"Claude 5"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"anthropic"},{"id":"102251","slug":"math","label":"Math"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"50%+","top_outcome_probability":0.375,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1171.875711,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:06.740361Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:06.740361Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-claude-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,1034.04,1034.04,1034.04,1034.04,1034.04,1034.04,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1157.59,1167.79408,1167.79408,1167.79408,1167.79408,1171.875711,1171.875711,1171.875711,1171.875711,1171.875711],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1285713","event_id":"191768","slug":"will-any-anthropic-claude-model-score-at-least-50-on-the-frontiermath-exam","question":"Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?","group_item_title":"50%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T05:02:53.789491Z","end_date":"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18881.156520999997,"volume_24hr":1171.875711,"prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":1171.875711,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.49314308166504,"normalized_volume":28.44234848022461,"liquidity":401.6756,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:11:11.033426Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-claude-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30/will-any-anthropic-claude-model-score-at-least-50-on-the-frontiermath-exam","event_title":"Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.41,0.425,0.415,0.425,0.42,0.41,0.435,0.41,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.37,0.365,0.355,0.38,0.375,0.38,0.375,0.365,0.38,0.37,0.375,0.38,0.365,0.37,0.375,0.375,0.37,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.335,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1285711","event_id":"191768","slug":"will-any-anthropic-claude-model-score-at-least-25-on-the-frontiermath-exam","question":"Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?","group_item_title":"25%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-30T05:02:59.456597Z","end_date":"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-06T04:05:15Z","volume":22654.662856,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.504695892333984,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-claude-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30/will-any-anthropic-claude-model-score-at-least-25-on-the-frontiermath-exam","event_title":"Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1285712","event_id":"191768","slug":"will-any-anthropic-claude-model-score-at-least-30-on-the-frontiermath-exam","question":"Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?","group_item_title":"30%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-30T05:02:55.749105Z","end_date":"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-06T05:30:09Z","volume":12037.426389,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.901277542114258,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-claude-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30/will-any-anthropic-claude-model-score-at-least-30-on-the-frontiermath-exam","event_title":"Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1285714","event_id":"191768","slug":"will-any-anthropic-claude-model-score-at-least-40-on-the-frontiermath-exam","question":"Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?","group_item_title":"40%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-march-31-hxpNop_nNE95.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-30T05:02:53.525627Z","end_date":"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-06T19:19:05Z","volume":12341.795124,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.039121627807617,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-claude-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30/will-any-anthropic-claude-model-score-at-least-40-on-the-frontiermath-exam","event_title":"Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/191768","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:34:32.229639Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?\" — top market at 38% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}