{"source":"polymarket","id":"192867","ticker":"luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027","slug":"luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027","title":"Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nTransporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027-Bp7JPTFf9Jw8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027-Bp7JPTFf9Jw8.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T21:07:19.169385Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15848.86552100001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.50246238708496,"liquidity":13633.6555,"open_interest":3687.080312,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"1628","slug":"courts","label":"Courts"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"103352","slug":"mangione","label":"mangione"},{"id":"101448","slug":"luigi-mangione","label":"Luigi Mangione"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.045,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:11:39.101389Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T16:11:39.101389Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1295955","event_id":"192867","slug":"luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027","question":"Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nTransporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027-Bp7JPTFf9Jw8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027-Bp7JPTFf9Jw8.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-29T21:06:08.736765Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15848.86552100001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.990453720092773,"liquidity":12143.5705,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:00:05.596485Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T15:36:34.724049Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027/luigi-mangione-out-of-custody-before-2027","event_title":"Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/192867","as_of":"2026-06-10T16:20:45.447516Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}