{"source":"polymarket","id":"193867","ticker":"will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","slug":"will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","title":"Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Anthropic\" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"OpenAI\" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. \n\nThis market will resolve 50-50 if:\n- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;\n- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or\n- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/g-7b367ede47.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/g-7b367ede47.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T22:47:23.589889Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":134897.8184029998,"volume_24hr":3042.9356719999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.981687545776367,"normalized_volume":30.63840675354004,"liquidity":26258.5535,"open_interest":65508.902599,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"103648","slug":"claude-5","label":"Claude 5"},{"id":"285","slug":"sam-altman","label":"sam altman"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"600","slug":"ipos","label":"IPOs"},{"id":"102599","slug":"ipo","label":"IPO"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"105048","slug":"openai-ipo","label":"OpenAI IPO"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.715,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-14421.093174000001,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:41.442583Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:01:41.442583Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","chart_24h":[17464.028846,17464.028846,17506.282366000003,17506.282366000003,17496.282366000003,17496.282366000003,17496.282366000003,17560.077548,17582.492054000002,17581.19034,17695.450340000003,17695.450340000003,17651.850340000005,17646.910340000002,18703.965454000005,18703.965454000005,18599.641509000005,5594.459737000001,2738.715453,3894.9654530000003,3891.394026,3499.664301,3151.3443009999996,3137.6456719999996,3137.6456719999996,3137.6456719999996,3132.6456719999996,3129.945672,3105.155672,3105.155672,3078.8356719999997,3062.9356719999996,3042.9356719999996],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1301184","event_id":"193867","slug":"will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","question":"Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Anthropic\" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"OpenAI\" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. \n\nThis market will resolve 50-50 if:\n- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;\n- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or\n- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/g-7b367ede47.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/g-7b367ede47.png","outcomes":["Anthropic","OpenAI"],"outcome_prices":[0.715,0.285],"probability":0.715,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-30T22:45:43.987000Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":134897.8184029998,"volume_24hr":3042.9356719999996,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-14421.093174000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.71599006652832,"normalized_volume":35.790740966796875,"liquidity":25779.8262,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:36:29.436533Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:09:52.177837Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first","event_title":"Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?","chart_24h":[0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.705,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/193867","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:08:47.294499Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?\" — top market at 72% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}