{"source":"polymarket","id":"193914","ticker":"us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31","slug":"us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31","title":"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nRoles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, \"head of state,\" \"president,\" or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.\n\nA qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-january-31-TWuPg7TdumkP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-january-31-TWuPg7TdumkP.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T00:25:14.043920Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":69757.93139099999,"volume_24hr":680.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.509552001953125,"normalized_volume":27.269718170166016,"liquidity":23619.8845,"open_interest":2072.909762,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"246","slug":"venezuela","label":"Venezuela"},{"id":"103147","slug":"trump-machado","label":"Trump-Machado"},{"id":"103052","slug":"maria-machado","label":"Maria Machado"},{"id":"103053","slug":"maria-corina-machado","label":"Maria Corina Machado"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.07,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":543.29,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:57:33.330835Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:57:33.330835Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31","chart_24h":[136.71,336.71,336.71,336.71,336.71,336.71,336.71,336.71,324.21,424.21,424.21,424.21,424.21,424.21,424.21,424.21,424.21,424.21,424.21,624.21,624.21,624.21,624.21,704.21,580.0,580.0,680.0,680.0,680.0,680.0,680.0,680.0,680.0,680.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1301533","event_id":"193914","slug":"us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31","question":"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nRoles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, \"head of state,\" \"president,\" or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.\n\nA qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-january-31-TWuPg7TdumkP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-january-31-TWuPg7TdumkP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T00:24:16.059503Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":69757.93139099999,"volume_24hr":680.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":543.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.5416316986084,"normalized_volume":31.905906677246094,"liquidity":24097.3438,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:59:49.102123Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:57:33.893152Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31","event_title":"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.07,0.07,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.075,0.08,0.08]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/193914","as_of":"2026-06-10T16:00:36.252273Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?\" — top market at 7% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}