{"source":"polymarket","id":"199777","ticker":"major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","slug":"major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","title":"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. \n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026-Iaherrmh3WuK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026-Iaherrmh3WuK.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-05T23:35:20.210134Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":127730.06008799995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.33997344970703,"liquidity":11177.9693,"open_interest":19714.653946,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"103674","slug":"cex","label":"CEX"},{"id":"105220","slug":"protocol-risk","label":"protocol-risk"},{"id":"294","slug":"binance","label":"binance"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.07,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5.37,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:20:21.808625Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:20:21.808625Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","chart_24h":[5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,5.37,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1343533","event_id":"199777","slug":"major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","question":"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. \n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026-Iaherrmh3WuK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026-Iaherrmh3WuK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-05T23:34:52.014256Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":127730.06008799995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-5.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.46064758300781,"liquidity":10573.4609,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:31:06.569412Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:28:46.753372Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","event_title":"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/199777","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:31:54.428013Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?\" — top market at 7% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}