{"source":"polymarket","id":"199777","ticker":"major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","slug":"major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","title":"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. \n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026-Iaherrmh3WuK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026-Iaherrmh3WuK.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-05T23:34:52.014256Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":134581.424296,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.73183822631836,"liquidity":17723.09626,"open_interest":23237.908936,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"103674","slug":"cex","label":"CEX"},{"id":"294","slug":"binance","label":"binance"},{"id":"105220","slug":"protocol-risk","label":"protocol-risk"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.04,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5.18,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T17:59:50.736836Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T17:59:50.736836Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","chart_24h":[5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,5.18,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1343533","event_id":"199777","slug":"major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","question":"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. \n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026-Iaherrmh3WuK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026-Iaherrmh3WuK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-05T23:34:52.014256Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":134581.424296,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-5.18,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.92069625854492,"liquidity":18535.163,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T10:04:58.081203Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T10:04:58.081203Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026/major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","event_title":"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/199777","as_of":"2026-09-08T18:28:05.776637Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}