{"source":"polymarket","id":"206838","ticker":"lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026","slug":"lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026","title":"Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-by-june-30-XaT36MbyCv8A.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-by-june-30-XaT36MbyCv8A.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T22:33:21.232206Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4778.3086379999995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.746070861816406,"liquidity":2937.9759,"open_interest":1627.347931,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"459","slug":"democrat","label":"democrat"},{"id":"103756","slug":"change","label":"change"},{"id":"103757","slug":"switch","label":"switch"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"1596","slug":"parties","label":"parties"},{"id":"1059","slug":"republican","label":"republican"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.155,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:24:08.137388Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:24:08.137388Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1370765","event_id":"206838","slug":"lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026","question":"Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-by-june-30-XaT36MbyCv8A.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-by-june-30-XaT36MbyCv8A.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T22:30:41.506215Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4778.3086379999995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.41112518310547,"liquidity":1597.2082,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:26:09.595609Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:53:20.109702Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026/lisa-murkowski-leaves-the-republican-party-in-2026","event_title":"Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.175,0.155,0.155,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/206838","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:33:48.352879Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?\" — top market at 16% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}