{"source":"polymarket","id":"206998","ticker":"jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30","slug":"jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30","title":"Jimmy Lai released by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nTransporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.\n\nTemporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30-ttSMTQ8R9O-g.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30-ttSMTQ8R9O-g.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-13T00:08:03.337244Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":350650.0899080002,"volume_24hr":4422.519,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.81410789489746,"normalized_volume":34.336910247802734,"liquidity":27333.90051,"open_interest":73865.642681,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"303","slug":"china","label":"China"},{"id":"102923","slug":"hong-kong","label":"Hong Kong"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0035,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0019999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1650.7090000000003,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T08:59:54.900455Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:59:54.900455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30","chart_24h":[2771.81,760.8199999999999,760.8199999999999,760.8199999999999,771.8639999999999,676.6239999999999,676.6239999999999,676.6239999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,666.3639999999999,676.3790000000001,546.5790000000002,536.5590000000002,536.5590000000002,536.5590000000002,536.5590000000002,536.5590000000002,3352.299,4090.519,4490.519,4490.519,4422.519],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1371199","event_id":"206998","slug":"jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30","question":"Jimmy Lai released by June 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nTransporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.\n\nTemporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30-ttSMTQ8R9O-g.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30-ttSMTQ8R9O-g.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0035,0.9965],"probability":0.0035,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-13T00:08:03.337244Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":350650.0899080002,"volume_24hr":4422.519,"prob_24h_change":-0.0019999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":1650.7090000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.862499237060547,"normalized_volume":45.18490219116211,"liquidity":32680.03628,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["China","Hong Kong"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T09:02:22.583203Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:16:16.402816Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30/jimmy-lai-released-by-june-30","event_title":"Jimmy Lai released by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.004,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/206998","as_of":"2026-06-22T09:07:22.890322Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Jimmy Lai released by June 30?\" — top market at 0% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}