{"source":"polymarket","id":"215787","ticker":"texas-senate-election-matchup","slug":"texas-senate-election-matchup-877","title":"Texas Senate Election Matchup","description":"The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”  \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T00:51:27.981925Z","end_date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":753824.0530789995,"volume_24hr":1619.3259129999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.2130126953125,"normalized_volume":41.8336181640625,"liquidity":126558.86336,"open_interest":87316.12953199999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"103792","slug":"texas-senate","label":"Texas Senate"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"103827","slug":"crockett","label":"Crockett"},{"id":"103824","slug":"cornyn","label":"Cornyn"},{"id":"932","slug":"texas","label":"texas"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"103825","slug":"talarico","label":"Talarico"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"103826","slug":"paxton","label":"Paxton"},{"id":"104065","slug":"march-3-primaries","label":"March 3 Primaries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Talarico & Paxton","top_outcome_probability":0.9585,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.00550000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1223.6859129999996,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T18:29:36.460429Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T18:29:36.460429Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877","chart_24h":[264.67,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,256.06,711.38,921.4343649999998,921.4343649999998,921.4343649999998,931.7743649999999,931.7743649999999,942.0629979999999,942.0629979999999,942.0629979999999,942.0629979999999,942.0629979999999,942.0629979999999,942.0629979999999,1142.0629979999999,1087.3929979999998,1369.3329979999999,1569.3259129999997,1619.3259129999997,1619.3259129999997],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395537","event_id":"215787","slug":"will-james-talarico-and-ken-paxton-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-869","question":"Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","group_item_title":"Talarico & Paxton","description":"The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”  \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9585,0.0415],"probability":0.9585,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T00:50:25.893605Z","end_date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":297337.6291179995,"volume_24hr":1278.3559129999996,"prob_24h_change":0.00550000000000006,"volume_24h_change":1223.6859129999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.009824752807617,"normalized_volume":46.598331451416016,"liquidity":30852.8193,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T18:29:36.674961Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T18:29:36.674961Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877/will-james-talarico-and-ken-paxton-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-869","event_title":"Texas Senate Election Matchup","chart_24h":[0.955,0.955,0.96,0.955,0.945,0.96,0.9655,0.9645,0.9645,0.9645,0.963,0.962,0.961,0.9615,0.9575,0.963,0.958,0.9605]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395538","event_id":"215787","slug":"will-james-talarico-and-john-cornyn-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-991","question":"Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","group_item_title":"Talarico & Cornyn","description":"The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”  \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T00:50:32.698322Z","end_date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":203032.96977500003,"volume_24hr":340.97,"prob_24h_change":0.0049999999999999975,"volume_24h_change":139.58000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.309823989868164,"normalized_volume":43.81984329223633,"liquidity":29969.4959,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T18:17:42.231289Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T18:15:43.999000Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877/will-james-talarico-and-john-cornyn-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-991","event_title":"Texas Senate Election Matchup","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.045,0.045,0.04,0.045,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395541","event_id":"215787","slug":"will-jasmine-crockett-and-john-cornyn-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-448","question":"Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","group_item_title":"Crockett & Cornyn","description":"The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”  \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.001,0.999],"probability":0.001,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T00:50:50.970871Z","end_date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":70046.13602799998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.52053451538086,"liquidity":14231.91316,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T12:53:34.610191Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T04:06:08.070273Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877/will-jasmine-crockett-and-john-cornyn-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-448","event_title":"Texas Senate Election Matchup","chart_24h":[0.0005,0.0005,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395539","event_id":"215787","slug":"will-james-talarico-and-wesley-hunt-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-894","question":"Will James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","group_item_title":"Talarico & Hunt","description":"The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”  \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T00:50:38.762854Z","end_date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24084.27907599999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.86586570739746,"liquidity":7506.6731,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T05:03:48.461844Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-19T15:08:42.695440Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877/will-james-talarico-and-wesley-hunt-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-894","event_title":"Texas Senate Election Matchup","chart_24h":[0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395540","event_id":"215787","slug":"will-jasmine-crockett-and-ken-paxton-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-897","question":"Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","group_item_title":"Crockett & Paxton","description":"The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”  \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T00:50:44.843056Z","end_date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":107068.88010299997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.35121154785156,"liquidity":13648.25268,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T11:16:21.689651Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T09:18:30.912706Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877/will-jasmine-crockett-and-ken-paxton-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-897","event_title":"Texas Senate Election Matchup","chart_24h":[0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395542","event_id":"215787","slug":"will-jasmine-crockett-and-wesley-hunt-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-663","question":"Will Jasmine Crockett and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","group_item_title":"Crockett & Hunt","description":"The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”  \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T00:50:56.898090Z","end_date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24729.797301,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.02265167236328,"liquidity":5082.03738,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T10:34:15.454097Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-18T05:45:03.668462Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877/will-jasmine-crockett-and-wesley-hunt-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election-663","event_title":"Texas Senate Election Matchup","chart_24h":[0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395543","event_id":"215787","slug":"will-two-candidates-other-than-the-listed-pairs-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election","question":"Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.\n\nIf a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”  \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/texas-flag-map-market-a5dc3bc9de.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-19T00:51:03.054930Z","end_date":"2026-03-03T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27524.361677999987,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.66149139404297,"liquidity":5695.10748,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:52:56.058298Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T11:47:11.392823Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-matchup-877/will-two-candidates-other-than-the-listed-pairs-be-the-candidates-for-the-texas-senate-election","event_title":"Texas Senate Election Matchup","chart_24h":[0.0005,0.0005]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/215787","as_of":"2026-05-26T18:37:57.464406Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Texas Senate Election Matchup\" — top market at 96% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}