{"source":"polymarket","id":"232576","ticker":"ca-04-primary-winners","slug":"ca-04-primary-winners","title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:43:11.256269Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34387.705858999994,"volume_24hr":2148.28263,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.713876724243164,"normalized_volume":24.77022361755371,"liquidity":49351.02035,"open_interest":12273.141967000001,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"103935","slug":"california-primary","label":"California Primary"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"105180","slug":"june-2-primaries","label":"June 2 Primaries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mike Thompson","top_outcome_probability":0.9295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010499999999999954,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-0.0033320000000003347,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:12.851209Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:12.851209Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners","chart_24h":[10.450239,10.450239,18.780239,18.780239,18.780239,18.780239,18.780239,18.780239,18.780239,18.780239,231.780239,277.780239,277.780239,277.780239,277.780239,277.780239,277.780239,277.780239,277.780239,277.780239,277.780239,294.780239,2105.680239,2105.680239,2105.680239,2105.680239,2105.680239,2105.680239,2105.680239,2097.3469069999996,2097.3469069999996,2095.23,2116.28263,2148.28263,2148.28263],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447712","event_id":"232576","slug":"will-mike-thompson-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","question":"Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?","group_item_title":"Mike Thompson","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9295,0.0705],"probability":0.9295,"spread":0.091,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:40:07.223000Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7398.695181000001,"volume_24hr":8.33,"prob_24h_change":-0.010499999999999954,"volume_24h_change":-0.0033320000000003347,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6469324827194214,"normalized_volume":23.287616729736328,"liquidity":4825.20855,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:13.057061Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners/will-mike-thompson-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","event_title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.94,0.9445,0.9455,0.93,0.9375,0.9455,0.946,0.9455,0.941,0.932,0.9485,0.948,0.9485,0.9525,0.9525,0.948,0.9385,0.9495,0.9535,0.9535,0.948,0.9525,0.938,0.939,0.9455,0.928,0.939,0.9365,0.9455,0.9355,0.944,0.9365,0.934,0.9235,0.9295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447716","event_id":"232576","slug":"will-eric-jones-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","question":"Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?","group_item_title":"Eric Jones","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.905,0.095],"probability":0.905,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:40:06.263000Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5802.1205,"volume_24hr":329.05263,"prob_24h_change":-0.012499999999999956,"volume_24h_change":329.05263,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.105827331542969,"normalized_volume":22.034374237060547,"liquidity":12984.38222,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:41:52.446103Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners/will-eric-jones-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","event_title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.9175,0.9175,0.9175,0.9175,0.9175,0.9175,0.9175,0.907,0.9075,0.9075,0.906,0.906,0.9065,0.906,0.9065,0.906,0.9055,0.906,0.9055,0.905,0.905,0.905]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447719","event_id":"232576","slug":"will-john-wesley-tyler-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","question":"Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?","group_item_title":"John Wesley Tyler","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.035,0.965],"probability":0.035,"spread":0.048,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:40:06.967000Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1793.8508349999997,"volume_24hr":747.85,"prob_24h_change":-0.039999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":746.7747430000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.465423583984375,"normalized_volume":16.471086502075195,"liquidity":2798.37128,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:13:44.499177Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:11:16.017070Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners/will-john-wesley-tyler-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","event_title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.08,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.045,0.04,0.035,0.0345,0.0345,0.035,0.035,0.0345,0.035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447714","event_id":"232576","slug":"will-heath-fulkerson-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","question":"Will Heath Fulkerson advance from the CA-04 primary election?","group_item_title":"Heath Fulkerson","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:40:04.151000Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1701.970388,"volume_24hr":1063.05,"prob_24h_change":-0.035,"volume_24h_change":1062.00835,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.04176902770996,"normalized_volume":16.24086570739746,"liquidity":2328.41163,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:13.057061Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners/will-heath-fulkerson-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","event_title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.045,0.039,0.021,0.022,0.0365,0.027,0.0315,0.035,0.0355,0.037,0.0405,0.0435,0.02]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447717","event_id":"232576","slug":"will-laurie-mackenzie-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","question":"Will Laurie MacKenzie advance from the CA-04 primary election?","group_item_title":"Laurie MacKenzie","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.051,0.949],"probability":0.051,"spread":0.046,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:40:01.848000Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":710.445516,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.653822898864746,"liquidity":2097.23081,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:13.057061Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners/will-laurie-mackenzie-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","event_title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.041,0.0515,0.0515,0.043,0.0515,0.043,0.0485,0.046,0.0405,0.0475,0.043,0.051,0.052,0.048,0.0485,0.041,0.0455,0.0445,0.0455,0.0465,0.0475,0.046,0.0475,0.0415,0.0425,0.0405,0.0405,0.0415,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.0435,0.043,0.051,0.051]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447713","event_id":"232576","slug":"will-sharon-brown-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","question":"Will Sharon Brown advance from the CA-04 primary election?","group_item_title":"Sharon Brown","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0145,0.9855],"probability":0.0145,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:40:03.897000Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3448.638226,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.468820571899414,"liquidity":13096.87005,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T17:19:57.106129Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T00:39:25.284694Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners/will-sharon-brown-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","event_title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.0145,0.0145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447718","event_id":"232576","slug":"will-trevor-merrell-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","question":"Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?","group_item_title":"Trevor Merrell","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:40:06.007000Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10816.694502999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.315141677856445,"liquidity":6607.16843,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:13.057061Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners/will-trevor-merrell-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","event_title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.0125,0.0115,0.011,0.012,0.0115,0.011,0.0105,0.0095,0.0125,0.0115,0.01,0.0095,0.0095,0.0115,0.011,0.0125,0.0125,0.0115,0.01,0.0095,0.009,0.0125,0.0115,0.0125,0.0115,0.0115,0.0125,0.0125,0.0115,0.0105,0.0125,0.011,0.0105,0.01,0.012]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1447715","event_id":"232576","slug":"will-mandy-ghusar-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","question":"Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?","group_item_title":"Mandy Ghusar","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ca-22-primary-winners-9Nxjyi0j7xS3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T22:40:08.923000Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2715.29071,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.34316062927246,"liquidity":5535.24796,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T20:58:37.143284Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T20:56:35.938200Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ca-04-primary-winners/will-mandy-ghusar-advance-from-the-ca-04-primary-election","event_title":"CA-04 Primary Winners","chart_24h":[0.004,0.0035,0.0025,0.003,0.0025,0.003,0.0025,0.0035,0.0025,0.0035,0.0025,0.0025,0.0035,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.003,0.0025,0.0025,0.004,0.0035,0.0025,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0025,0.0035,0.003,0.003]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/232576","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:35:07.428850Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"CA-04 Primary Winners\" — top market at 2% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}