{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/237598","as_of":"2026-11-04T15:11:25.783911Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Iran leader end of 2026?\" — \"Mojtaba Khamenei\" leads at 90% across 123 outcomes as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/237598","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"237598","ticker":"iran-leader-end-of-2026","slug":"iran-leader-end-of-2026","title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:11.057586Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40720226.440922,"volume_24hr":32668.389352,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.31794357299805,"normalized_volume":69.6801528930664,"liquidity":2041636.44467,"open_interest":813013.8170800001,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104005","slug":"iranian-leadership-regime","label":"Iran Regime"},{"id":"103796","slug":"rewards-50-4pt5-100","label":"Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mojtaba Khamenei","top_outcome_probability":0.8985,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.027999999999999914,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-37189.281082,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:34.636981Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:34.636981Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026","chart_24h":[55673.312653,55837.038536,56069.748536,56067.49853600001,42141.341163,17329.081697999998,17324.98464,21105.27772,21279.723828,18009.842489,16636.262219,16756.524887,16802.588887,16477.682221,18850.238429,19956.128168,19925.944213,21605.423613,23243.533613,23004.369121000003,18310.142454,18671.20852,18746.11852,21444.097678,21379.594706,21455.964956,21464.751158,32310.759351999997],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":123,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469737","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mojtaba Khamenei","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8985,0.1015],"probability":0.8985,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:27.113703Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":7092228.715173998,"volume_24hr":13500.944995999998,"prob_24h_change":0.027999999999999914,"volume_24h_change":-37189.281082,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.0801887512207,"normalized_volume":73.00624084472656,"liquidity":58612.75891,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.8705,0.8705,0.8695,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.865,0.863,0.8595,0.858,0.8575,0.866,0.866,0.8665,0.8665,0.8755,0.8785,0.8785,0.885,0.885,0.886,0.886,0.8885,0.8895,0.8885,0.8885,0.888,0.8995]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469758","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-alireza-arafi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Alireza Arafi","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0315,0.9685],"probability":0.0315,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:39.638000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2333603.2465410004,"volume_24hr":1189.366384,"prob_24h_change":-0.0015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":891.7163839999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.897354125976562,"normalized_volume":63.07966613769531,"liquidity":85205.44862,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-alireza-arafi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.033,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.0395,0.0395,0.0395,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.0365,0.036,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.033,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315,0.0315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469734","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-there-be-no-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"No Head of State","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:11.057586Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1181721.610599,"volume_24hr":1538.1563570000003,"prob_24h_change":-0.008,"volume_24h_change":1093.0537250000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.293628692626953,"normalized_volume":57.36101531982422,"liquidity":88137.8748,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-there-be-no-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0385,0.0375,0.0375,0.037,0.037,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0335,0.0335,0.0355,0.0355,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469739","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-reza-pahlavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Reza Pahlavi","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0185,0.9815],"probability":0.0185,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:33.171116Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":727647.444005,"volume_24hr":1302.154403,"prob_24h_change":-0.004,"volume_24h_change":809.504403,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.38355827331543,"normalized_volume":53.45146179199219,"liquidity":126461.21314,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-reza-pahlavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0205,0.0205,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.019,0.0185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469753","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-hassan-rouhani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Hassan Rouhani","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:08.671164Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":956608.4920500005,"volume_24hr":1050.35875,"prob_24h_change":-0.0004999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":850.3587500000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.240463256835938,"normalized_volume":55.640193939208984,"liquidity":87323.21929,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-hassan-rouhani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469766","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-mohammad-bagher-ghalibaf-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-mohammad-bagher-ghalibaf-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-suShikC21YT8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-mohammad-bagher-ghalibaf-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-suShikC21YT8.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:18:43.551000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":932631.1902130005,"volume_24hr":1363.5066,"prob_24h_change":-0.0014999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":952.3593999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.63300895690918,"normalized_volume":55.43526077270508,"liquidity":70741.15786,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-mohammad-bagher-ghalibaf-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.0055,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469738","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-hassan-khomeini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Hassan Khomeini","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:29.232417Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1460233.950124,"volume_24hr":2332.946534,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005,"volume_24h_change":1779.7122010000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.66136932373047,"normalized_volume":59.110469818115234,"liquidity":75066.51021,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-hassan-khomeini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.006,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469751","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-masoud-pezeshkian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Masoud Pezeshkian","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:54.486664Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1039925.285564,"volume_24hr":2287.910312,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005,"volume_24h_change":2268.480312,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.54764175415039,"normalized_volume":56.31705856323242,"liquidity":64369.47861,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-masoud-pezeshkian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0075,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.006,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469761","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ahmad-vahidi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Ahmad Vahidi","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:18:05.331000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":789428.3366789998,"volume_24hr":1844.1071,"prob_24h_change":-0.0065,"volume_24h_change":1614.0871,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.308685302734375,"normalized_volume":54.09884262084961,"liquidity":62258.73227,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ahmad-vahidi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0095,0.0095,0.0095,0.0095,0.0095,0.009,0.009,0.007,0.0075,0.0075,0.0075,0.0075,0.0075,0.006,0.0055,0.0055,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469760","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-abbas-araghchi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Abbas Araghchi","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:56.498000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":845738.4104569999,"volume_24hr":2508.51625,"prob_24h_change":-0.0019999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":2288.05625,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.08721923828125,"normalized_volume":54.649234771728516,"liquidity":75566.8621,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-abbas-araghchi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.005,0.0045,0.0045,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469735","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-muhammad-mirbaqiri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Muhammad Mirbaqiri","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:14.043240Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":481302.43022000004,"volume_24hr":723.46,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":664.551,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.340110778808594,"normalized_volume":50.228023529052734,"liquidity":78282.01725,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-muhammad-mirbaqiri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469736","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-sadegh-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Sadegh Larijani","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:16.050062Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":591452.3885099998,"volume_24hr":757.402,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":731.7800000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.568119049072266,"normalized_volume":51.82272720336914,"liquidity":71286.73273,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-sadegh-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469741","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-maryam-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Maryam Rajavi","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:49.295639Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":908997.3419710001,"volume_24hr":1201.0896659999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.002,"volume_24h_change":838.6393329999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.949691772460938,"normalized_volume":55.228424072265625,"liquidity":54838.45568,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-maryam-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469764","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ahmad-hosseini-khorasani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:18:26.280000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":334256.9539469999,"volume_24hr":1068.47,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":823.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.33012580871582,"normalized_volume":47.467872619628906,"liquidity":75070.91705,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T14:55:35.191622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ahmad-hosseini-khorasani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469740","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-hassan-shariatmadari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Hassan Shariatmadari","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:48.308561Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3181219.2137880004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":65.7737808227539,"liquidity":55901.8439,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-hassan-shariatmadari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469742","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-massoud-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Massoud Rajavi","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:15:54.284543Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":436770.216448,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":49.48537826538086,"liquidity":64947.07097,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-massoud-rajavi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469743","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-seyed-hossein-mousavian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Seyed Hossein Mousavian","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:00.352563Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3724699.1462149993,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":67.16678619384766,"liquidity":56363.43296,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-seyed-hossein-mousavian-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469744","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-reza-pirzadeh-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Reza Pirzadeh","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:05.366343Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":187926.445867,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.26714324951172,"liquidity":67922.49989,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-reza-pirzadeh-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469745","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-navid-shomali-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Navid Shomali","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:11.379328Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":259911.42827999996,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.60881042480469,"liquidity":68571.95746,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-navid-shomali-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469746","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-mustafa-hijri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mustafa Hijri","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:19.422256Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":239450.326108,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.01090621948242,"liquidity":62533.24617,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-mustafa-hijri-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469747","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ali-motahari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Ali Motahari","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:26.537743Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":860261.7931060002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":54.78567886352539,"liquidity":50091.59571,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ali-motahari-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469748","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-gholam-ali-haddad-adel-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:34.388203Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":442712.18197,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":49.58840560913086,"liquidity":69048.55317,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-gholam-ali-haddad-adel-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469749","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-mostafa-pourmohammadi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mostafa Pourmohammadi","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:42.703880Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3386386.4624549984,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":66.32402801513672,"liquidity":56030.0006,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-mostafa-pourmohammadi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469750","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-sadegh-mahsouli-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Sadegh Mahsouli","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:16:46.515815Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":276150.7377100001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":46.05328369140625,"liquidity":66836.17582,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-sadegh-mahsouli-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469752","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-saeed-jalili-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Saeed Jalili","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:02.443967Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":425584.17465500004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":49.28786087036133,"liquidity":61864.71301,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-saeed-jalili-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469754","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-mahmoud-ahmadinejad-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mahmoud Ahmadinejad","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:16.533601Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1138519.5925619998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005,"volume_24h_change":-939.85,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":57.055850982666016,"liquidity":36221.88834,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-mahmoud-ahmadinejad-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469755","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-mohammad-khatami-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mohammad Khatami","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:22.549712Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5222743.063481,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":70.2015151977539,"liquidity":42027.8571,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-mohammad-khatami-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469762","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-mohsen-araki-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mohsen Araki","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:18:12.459000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":330424.638905,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005,"volume_24h_change":-251.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":47.38184356689453,"liquidity":58484.68503,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-mohsen-araki-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.001,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469763","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-nasir-hosseini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Nasir Hosseini","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:18:19.274000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":300800.879557,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":46.68400573730469,"liquidity":65059.31667,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-nasir-hosseini-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469765","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ali-asghar-hejazi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Ali Asghar Hejazi","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:18:33.179000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":394029.91461300006,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.703712463378906,"liquidity":46940.25173,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:28:32.268755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ali-asghar-hejazi-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.001,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469757","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-mohammad-pakpour-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-144","question":"Will Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Mohammad Pakpour","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:34.680002Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-05T03:18:53Z","result":"no","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-mohammad-pakpour-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-144","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469759","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ali-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Ali Larijani","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:48.439000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-18T00:41:09Z","result":"no","volume":236860.42914799994,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.93190002441406,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ali-larijani-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469756","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-other-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-477","question":"Will Other be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:17:28.652727Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-other-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026-477","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469767","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-o-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will o be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"o","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:18:49.096175Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-o-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469768","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-p-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will p be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"p","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:18:57.493073Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-p-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469769","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-q-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will q be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"q","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:07.580020Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-q-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469770","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-r-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will r be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"r","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:08.649437Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-r-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469771","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-s-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will s be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"s","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:14.762703Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-s-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469772","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-t-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will t be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"t","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:20.647625Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-t-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469773","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-u-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will u be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"u","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:26.784183Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-u-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469774","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-v-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will v be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"v","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:31.937584Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-v-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469775","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-w-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will w be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"w","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:39.009563Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-w-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469776","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-x-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will x be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"x","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:44.127745Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-x-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469777","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-y-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will y be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"y","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:50.246772Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-y-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469778","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-z-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will z be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"z","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:19:56.295756Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-z-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469779","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-aa-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will aa be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"aa","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:20:02.243783Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-aa-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469780","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ab-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will ab be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"ab","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:20:08.628300Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ab-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469781","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ac-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will ac be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"ac","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:20:14.886005Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ac-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469782","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ad-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will ad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"ad","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:20:20.001647Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ad-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1469783","event_id":"237598","slug":"will-ae-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","question":"Will ae be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","group_item_title":"ae","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025-VNDMf5RqFLwB.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T00:20:26.210216Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T17:22:03.859287Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:00.210293Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026/will-ae-be-head-of-state-in-iran-end-of-2026","event_title":"Iran leader end of 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}