{"source":"polymarket","id":"23784","ticker":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","slug":"what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","description":"This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22768054.94471631,"volume_24hr":9578.845523,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.28107452392578,"normalized_volume":60.629520416259766,"liquidity":605464.84073,"open_interest":752552.005664,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"100215","slug":"all","label":"All"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"102109","slug":"gta-vi","label":"GTA VI"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"New Playboi Carti Album ","top_outcome_probability":0.525,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-297.8349999999999,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:46.789869Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:46.789869Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi","chart_24h":[6634.595467,6363.839105,5264.846662999999,5193.519844999999,5029.1458059999995,4940.479024999999,4975.6174519999995,5306.07553,5906.080322999999,7172.280338,7449.263139999999,7758.245290999999,7780.8504889999995,7932.281475999999,8014.571067,8283.069833,8232.871146,8604.415547,9015.309264,9045.477413999999,9039.623642,9040.35717,9018.376778,9115.904928,8821.794060000002,9363.941504,8347.373662,8320.74751,8590.837052,8596.45235,8535.923145,8601.629106999999,9513.50919,9555.090972],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"540818","event_id":"23784","slug":"new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","question":"New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"New Playboi Carti Album ","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.525,0.475],"probability":0.525,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.837000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":741993.5826369461,"volume_24hr":355.592675,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-297.8349999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.625591278076172,"normalized_volume":50.646018981933594,"liquidity":10514.1901,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:54:57.283675Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:47.529860Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/new-playboi-carti-album-before-gta-vi-421","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":[0.515,0.515,0.515,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.525,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.525]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"573647","event_id":"23784","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released","question":"Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"GPT-6 released","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nTo qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gpt-6-be-released-60JNME7AcX8z.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-07T14:21:34.535000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":662534.0929389969,"volume_24hr":1196.459431,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1047.9099,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.912424087524414,"normalized_volume":49.80078125,"liquidity":31682.9264,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T10:57:52.755707Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:54:50.731710Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/will-gpt-6-be-released","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":[0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"540817","event_id":"23784","slug":"new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926","question":"New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"New Rihanna Album","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-02T15:48:10.582000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":832787.1494360069,"volume_24hr":2567.620919,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":1769.250611,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.750442504882812,"normalized_volume":51.51475524902344,"liquidity":10639.0005,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:12:12.070431Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:40:55.827448Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/new-rhianna-album-before-gta-vi-926","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":[0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.525,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2325588","event_id":"23784","slug":"another-pandemic-before-gta-vi","question":"Another pandemic before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"Another Pandemic","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and Grand Theft Auto VI's officially release in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for another pandemic's occurrence will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:10:08.125000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18259.395947999998,"volume_24hr":206.07999999999998,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":195.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.57467269897461,"normalized_volume":26.689279556274414,"liquidity":27786.7758,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T03:56:41.198121Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T03:53:44.183989Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:16:24.514309Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/another-pandemic-before-gta-vi","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"540820","event_id":"23784","slug":"trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846","question":"Trump out as President before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"Trump out as President ","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.107000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":671131.2176070076,"volume_24hr":683.01,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":491.757846,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.345651626586914,"normalized_volume":49.89663314819336,"liquidity":22007.8023,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:26:29.983881Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:23:10.448430Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/trump-out-as-president-before-gta-vi-846","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"540843","event_id":"23784","slug":"will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716-644","question":"Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"China invades Taiwan ","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nAn announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for China invading Taiwan will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be use\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.600000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1870738.3278720658,"volume_24hr":637.2099999999998,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":294.4839229999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.04266357421875,"normalized_volume":57.81276321411133,"liquidity":29889.1134,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":["China","Taiwan"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:54:57.283675Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:47.529860Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716-644","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"540819","event_id":"23784","slug":"will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","question":"Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"Jesus Christ returns","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for the return of Jesus will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-02T15:48:16.854000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11604299.938652717,"volume_24hr":3403.506827,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":282.6392209999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.266386032104492,"normalized_volume":73.34783172607422,"liquidity":378727.7511,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:54:57.283675Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:47.529860Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/will-jesus-christ-return-before-gta-vi-665","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"540844","event_id":"23784","slug":"will-bitcoin-hit-1m-before-gta-vi-872-424","question":"Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"Bitcoin hits $1m","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final \"High\" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nThe resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-02T15:48:17.361000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4505141.530187515,"volume_24hr":523.405671,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-971.4399619999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.201601028442383,"normalized_volume":65.06349182128906,"liquidity":98327.79794,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:54:57.283675Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:47.529860Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/will-bitcoin-hit-1m-before-gta-vi-872-424","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.4945,0.495,0.495]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1117522","event_id":"23784","slug":"will-drake-release-iceman-before-gta-vi","question":"Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"Drake releases Iceman","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Drake officially releases Iceman before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nIceman refers to the upcoming studio album by Drake of that title, which has been promoted through videos released with the titles “Iceman Episode (1-4)”, and the singles “What Did I Miss”, “Which One”, and “Dog House.”\n\nOfficially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nThe full Iceman studio album must be released in order to resolve this market. Further singles or Iceman video episodes will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.\n\nThe resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. A consensus of credible reporting that a released album is the Iceman project may be used if Drake releases the album under a different name.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-06T00:20:15.433097Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-15T09:40:31Z","volume":184867.9642920002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.767494201660156,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-16T09:44:12.996533Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-16T09:41:22.764707Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/will-drake-release-iceman-before-gta-vi","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"540816","event_id":"23784","slug":"russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554","question":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?","group_item_title":"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if  if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.\n\nOnly ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi-7hpNkEzQEqUE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.54,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-05-02T15:48:00.174000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-09T04:29:49Z","volume":1676301.745145051,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":56.937469482421875,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-05-10T04:35:45.861852Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-09T19:46:28.603041Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554","event_title":"What will happen before GTA VI?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/23784","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:01:37.535161Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"What will happen before GTA VI?\" — top market at 50% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}