{"source":"polymarket","id":"242022","ticker":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:46:00.799287Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":112875.50022600003,"volume_24hr":269.815425,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.973438262939453,"normalized_volume":30.728025436401367,"liquidity":68905.51003,"open_interest":20206.834787999996,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"139","slug":"fdv","label":"FDV"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"102368","slug":"pre-market","label":"Pre-Market"},{"id":"104004","slug":"probable","label":"Probable"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$500M","top_outcome_probability":0.3975,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009000000000000008,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:15.408615Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:15.408615Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":[2021.7482,2021.7482,2021.7482,2021.7482,2021.7482,2032.250295,2032.250295,2032.250295,2033.280295,2033.280295,2033.280295,2033.280295,2033.280295,2033.280295,2033.280295,2052.770295,2043.522095,2043.522095,2043.522095,2043.522095,2043.522095,2043.522095,2282.315425,2282.315425,2282.315425,2282.315425,2282.315425,269.815425,269.815425,269.815425,269.815425,269.815425,269.815425,269.815425,269.815425],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486016","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$50M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:10.957738Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80060.57150500003,"volume_24hr":238.79333,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":-1773.70667,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.915914535522461,"normalized_volume":37.40059280395508,"liquidity":12166.9394,"categories":["Crypto"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:11:18.443073Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.125,0.125,0.125,0.125,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.125,0.125,0.12,0.155,0.18,0.17,0.175,0.17,0.175,0.175,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.175,0.165,0.185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486022","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-800m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$800M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0825,0.9175],"probability":0.0825,"spread":0.067,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:06.787565Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1718.3427729999994,"volume_24hr":10.502095,"prob_24h_change":-0.019000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":10.502095,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.9700918197631836,"normalized_volume":16.282663345336914,"liquidity":14341.22809,"categories":["Crypto"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:15.606885Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-800m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.1015,0.0835,0.0875,0.087,0.095,0.0865,0.095,0.074,0.0995,0.0885,0.0865,0.0705,0.0705,0.09,0.0795,0.1035,0.0915,0.081,0.0875,0.089,0.0795,0.0915,0.0785,0.0765,0.083,0.0755,0.0805,0.074,0.074,0.076,0.0765,0.083,0.0815,0.0765,0.0825]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486017","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$100M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0715,0.9285],"probability":0.0715,"spread":0.093,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:11.908440Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20496.292556,"volume_24hr":20.52,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":11.271799999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1102538108825684,"normalized_volume":28.91851234436035,"liquidity":11304.05791,"categories":["Crypto"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T20:43:58.425158Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T11:44:20.863787Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.0715,0.0715,0.0715,0.0715,0.0715,0.073,0.0715,0.0715,0.0715,0.0715,0.0715,0.0715,0.0715]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486021","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$500M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3975,0.6025],"probability":0.3975,"spread":0.733,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:04.858395Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":575.3318359999994,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009000000000000008,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.85521411895752,"liquidity":2442.15555,"categories":["Crypto"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:15.606885Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.3885,0.3885,0.3885,0.3885,0.388,0.388,0.388,0.3885,0.3885,0.3885,0.3995,0.395,0.392,0.389,0.397,0.39,0.3945,0.3995,0.39,0.3885,0.3905,0.389,0.3985,0.39,0.3925,0.39,0.3975]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486019","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-300m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$300M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1165,0.8835],"probability":0.1165,"spread":0.135,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:04.603716Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4651.005983999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.924400329589844,"liquidity":13558.72679,"categories":["Crypto"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:15.606885Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:15.606885Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-300m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.1145,0.113,0.1135,0.1145,0.1135,0.117,0.1135,0.117,0.117,0.117,0.117,0.1155,0.1135,0.119,0.117,0.1175,0.1155,0.117,0.117,0.117,0.117,0.1165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486020","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$400M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0795,0.9205],"probability":0.0795,"spread":0.089,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:11.211367Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":235.68768199999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.768095016479492,"liquidity":3141.4863,"categories":["Crypto"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:15.606885Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.0805,0.071,0.0805,0.0795,0.0805,0.08,0.0805,0.0765,0.0795,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.0795,0.0795,0.071,0.08,0.079,0.08,0.08,0.0805,0.0795,0.08,0.0795,0.08,0.08,0.0795,0.0795,0.079,0.0795]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486018","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-200m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$200M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.068,0.932],"probability":0.068,"spread":0.022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:12.163292Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4954.075303999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.238325119018555,"liquidity":7265.96115,"categories":["Crypto"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:13:44.499177Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:11:18.443073Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-200m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.068,0.0675,0.068]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486023","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$1B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.067,0.933],"probability":0.067,"spread":0.058,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:08.822526Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":184.19258599999995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.006499999999999992,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.998738765716553,"liquidity":4581.90167,"categories":["Crypto"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:28:34.166692Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:26:15.606885Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.0735,0.0605,0.0615,0.0605,0.063,0.074,0.072,0.0645,0.0625,0.0685,0.0695,0.072,0.0645,0.066,0.0695,0.072,0.073,0.0715,0.0705,0.0665,0.068,0.0605,0.0645,0.0645,0.0635,0.0685,0.069,0.0675,0.07,0.07,0.0645,0.0685,0.0665,0.068,0.067]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/242022","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:39:39.596748Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?\" — top market at 18% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}