{"source":"polymarket","id":"242022","ticker":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:04.603716Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":134051.02613800007,"volume_24hr":1953.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.298419952392578,"normalized_volume":28.310894012451172,"liquidity":60908.88716,"open_interest":20708.158583000008,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"139","slug":"fdv","label":"FDV"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"102368","slug":"pre-market","label":"Pre-Market"},{"id":"104004","slug":"probable","label":"Probable"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$400M","top_outcome_probability":0.272,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.007499999999999951,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T07:25:12.274222Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T07:25:12.274222Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":[1632.6699999999998,1637.6699999999998,2282.56,2282.56,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2576.5,2918.17,2918.17,3018.17,3068.17,3068.17,3068.17,3525.81,2008.23,2008.23,2008.23,2008.23,2008.23,2008.23,2008.23,2008.23,1978.23,1978.23,1978.23,1978.23,1978.23,1978.23],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486017","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$100M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1255,0.8745],"probability":0.1255,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:11.908440Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28881.609248000004,"volume_24hr":954.31,"prob_24h_change":0.036000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":364.21000000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.999147415161133,"normalized_volume":29.29532814025879,"liquidity":8064.15398,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T07:25:12.935285Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T07:25:12.935285Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-100m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.0895,0.096,0.0955,0.096,0.0965,0.096,0.0965,0.0965,0.097,0.104,0.111,0.113,0.113,0.124,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486016","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$50M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:10.957738Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86562.77489600008,"volume_24hr":704.99,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-927.48,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.13835334777832,"normalized_volume":35.89137649536133,"liquidity":10689.6011,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T01:00:37.882822Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T00:26:01.490706Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-50m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486021","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$500M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0685,0.9315],"probability":0.0685,"spread":0.023,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:04.858395Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1675.0795519999995,"volume_24hr":293.94,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":293.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.63247299194336,"normalized_volume":15.306438446044922,"liquidity":6546.03504,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T06:42:31.676542Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T20:37:32.418214Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.0635,0.069,0.069,0.0685,0.0685,0.0685,0.0685,0.0695,0.069,0.069,0.0685,0.069,0.069,0.0685,0.0685,0.0685,0.0685,0.0685]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486020","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$400M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.272,0.728],"probability":0.272,"spread":0.506,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:11.211367Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":586.713773,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.007499999999999951,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.290225982666016,"liquidity":3673.95579,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T07:25:12.935285Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T07:25:12.935285Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.2865,0.268,0.275,0.2905,0.3045,0.2835,0.2915,0.2685,0.2725,0.285,0.298,0.306,0.273,0.278,0.272,0.287,0.295,0.304,0.2745,0.2825,0.27,0.267,0.2745,0.27,0.277,0.277,0.271,0.275,0.269,0.273,0.269,0.274,0.269,0.27,0.272,0.276,0.271,0.275,0.279]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486018","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-200m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$200M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1105,0.8895],"probability":0.1105,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:12.163292Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7918.110302999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.012499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.378917694091797,"liquidity":13104.25927,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T07:13:08.720472Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T21:36:17.818590Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-200m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.098,0.0995,0.0995,0.101,0.102,0.1025,0.103,0.103,0.1035,0.104,0.105,0.105,0.1055,0.1065,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486019","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-300m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$300M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.097,0.903],"probability":0.097,"spread":0.106,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:04.603716Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4765.749315999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.17400000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.919601440429688,"liquidity":7749.52311,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T07:13:08.720472Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T05:06:38.287544Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-300m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.271,0.249,0.2385,0.083,0.0765,0.0865,0.0925,0.082,0.0965,0.09,0.081,0.097,0.089,0.0825,0.0995,0.083,0.083,0.089,0.085,0.099,0.099,0.0935,0.096,0.09,0.0805,0.0825,0.0945,0.096,0.0795,0.0795,0.088,0.097,0.089,0.091,0.097,0.097,0.097,0.097,0.097]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486022","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-800m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$800M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0805,0.9195],"probability":0.0805,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:06.787565Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2710.7255289999985,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.354595184326172,"liquidity":6541.42864,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T07:13:08.720472Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T06:39:00.630971Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-800m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.083,0.083,0.084,0.0825,0.082,0.081,0.081,0.0825,0.0815,0.081,0.081,0.079,0.0795,0.08,0.08,0.0805,0.0805,0.0805,0.0805,0.0805,0.0805,0.0805,0.0815,0.081,0.0815,0.0815,0.082,0.0805,0.0805,0.0805,0.081,0.081,0.0805,0.0805]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1486023","event_id":"242022","slug":"probable-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$1B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-02T19:44:08.822526Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":950.263521,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-90.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.059959411621094,"liquidity":3701.62633,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T04:55:06.984698Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T04:51:52.630860Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/probable-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.0555,0.0555,0.0555,0.055]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/242022","as_of":"2026-07-21T07:25:30.914459Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?\" — top market at 13% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}