{"source":"polymarket","id":"246193","ticker":"hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king","slug":"hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king","title":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn announcement of  Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T18:47:49.171835Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":173339.4820039996,"volume_24hr":1121.31,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.34066390991211,"normalized_volume":31.909421920776367,"liquidity":31001.4661,"open_interest":20255.465155,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104009","slug":"regional-spillover","label":"Regional Spillover"},{"id":"104087","slug":"king-of-bahrain","label":"king of bahrain"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"102578","slug":"bahrain","label":"Bahrain"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:47:28.355429Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:47:28.355429Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king","chart_24h":[1948.3944320000003,1948.3944320000003,1948.3944320000003,1948.3944320000003,1948.3944320000003,1948.3944320000003,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,101.02,101.02,101.02,101.02,101.02,108.03999999999999,108.03999999999999,108.03999999999999,108.03999999999999,108.03999999999999,1021.31,1121.31],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1500590","event_id":"246193","slug":"hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king","question":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn announcement of  Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0175,0.9825],"probability":0.0175,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T18:47:28.577000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":172163.5142499996,"volume_24hr":1121.31,"prob_24h_change":0.0025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":679.8811219999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.388736724853516,"normalized_volume":37.28417205810547,"liquidity":22743.14611,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Bahrain"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:07:47.655970Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:05:36.947899Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king","event_title":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?","chart_24h":[0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.015,0.0175,0.0175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1896800","event_id":"246193","slug":"hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-leader-of-bahrain-by-december-31-2026","question":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn announcement of  Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-06T22:06:39.417914Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1175.9677540000005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.824121475219727,"liquidity":10291.2975,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Bahrain"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:58:09.164750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:31:40.500692Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-leader-of-bahrain-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?","chart_24h":[0.105,0.095,0.075,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/246193","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:55:23.358109Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?\" — top market at 2% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}