{"source":"polymarket","id":"25009","ticker":"will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by","slug":"will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by","title":"Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?","description":"This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-05-22T14:50:24.927835Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":256069.16404400003,"volume_24hr":6.14,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5719168186187744,"normalized_volume":34.032371520996094,"liquidity":2401.112,"open_interest":7051.878269,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"285","slug":"sam-altman","label":"sam altman"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"102464","slug":"gpt-5","label":"GPT-5"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.36,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-6.63,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:47:26.643453Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:47:26.643453Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by","chart_24h":[12.77,8.57,8.57,8.57,8.57,8.57,8.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,3.57,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.14,6.14,6.14],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"676804","event_id":"25009","slug":"will-openai-launch-a-new-consumer-hardware-product-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA \"consumer hardware product\" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.\n\nExamples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T21:34:19.494201Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30081.254683999985,"volume_24hr":6.14,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-6.63,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.6047554016113281,"normalized_volume":27.274887084960938,"liquidity":2401.112,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:49.915138Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:49.915138Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by/will-openai-launch-a-new-consumer-hardware-product-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?","chart_24h":[0.365,0.355,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.355,0.365,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.355,0.36,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.365,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.36]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"546611","event_id":"25009","slug":"will-openai-launch-a-new-consumer-hardware-product-in-2025","question":"Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA \"consumer hardware product\" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.\n\nExamples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.002,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-05-22T14:50:06.990127Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-01-01T07:14:25Z","volume":41235.900836,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.968887329101562,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by/will-openai-launch-a-new-consumer-hardware-product-in-2025","event_title":"Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"546612","event_id":"25009","slug":"will-openai-launch-a-new-consumer-hardware-product-by-march-31-2026","question":"Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"March 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nA \"consumer hardware product\" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.\n\nExamples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by-qKhPl0zZsOEJ.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-05-22T14:50:07.243348Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":"2026-04-01T07:57:25Z","volume":184752.00852400006,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.721927642822266,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-consumer-hardware-product-by/will-openai-launch-a-new-consumer-hardware-product-by-march-31-2026","event_title":"Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/25009","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:57:43.741857Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?\" — top market at 36% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}