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The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:22:34.344724Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43382.21100799999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.02048110961914,"liquidity":20518.52302,"open_interest":3419.229843,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"103952","slug":"louisiana-primary","label":"Louisiana Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Blake Miguez","top_outcome_probability":0.085,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:48:05.579579Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:48:05.579579Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1731841","event_id":"310660","slug":"will-blake-miguez-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","question":"Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?","group_item_title":"Blake Miguez","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:18:22.894693Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21804.17447799999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.599159240722656,"liquidity":7741.6331,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T17:49:35.092387Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T22:43:16.142903Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner/will-blake-miguez-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","event_title":"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.085,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1731837","event_id":"310660","slug":"will-michael-echols-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","question":"Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?","group_item_title":"Michael Echols","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.018,0.982],"probability":0.018,"spread":0.034,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:17:50.762202Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10682.244741000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.073190689086914,"liquidity":456.62058,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:26.908919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:32.176375Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner/will-michael-echols-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","event_title":"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0175,0.0165,0.018,0.031,0.018]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1731839","event_id":"310660","slug":"will-austin-magee-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","question":"Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?","group_item_title":"Austin Magee","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.018,0.982],"probability":0.018,"spread":0.034,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:18:06.872442Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1285.3868740000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.000499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.14861011505127,"liquidity":738.24988,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:38:13.020716Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T16:35:41.367195Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner/will-austin-magee-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","event_title":"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0175,0.018]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1731838","event_id":"310660","slug":"will-rick-edmonds-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","question":"Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?","group_item_title":"Rick Edmonds","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:17:58.666850Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1280.7820769999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0035000000000000014,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.135441780090332,"liquidity":2345.68466,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:38:13.020716Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T16:35:41.367195Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner/will-rick-edmonds-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","event_title":"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0145,0.0145,0.011]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1731836","event_id":"310660","slug":"will-misti-cordell-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","question":"Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?","group_item_title":"Misti Cordell","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:17:42.874916Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1126.1282879999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0004999999999999987,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.66765022277832,"liquidity":2823.87546,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:49:40.432447Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T17:18:52.761015Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner/will-misti-cordell-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","event_title":"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.011,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1731840","event_id":"310660","slug":"will-michael-mebruer-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","question":"Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?","group_item_title":"Michael Mebruer","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:18:14.984227Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1237.0643420000004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.008353233337402,"liquidity":2177.37082,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:40.284910Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:01:06.588444Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner/will-michael-mebruer-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","event_title":"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0095,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1731842","event_id":"310660","slug":"will-samuel-wyatt-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","question":"Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?","group_item_title":"Samuel Wyatt","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:18:31.463257Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5966.430208000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0004999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.388742446899414,"liquidity":1830.27828,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:12:17.592301Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:10:17.029947Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner/will-samuel-wyatt-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","event_title":"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.004,0.0045,0.004,0.004,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1731858","event_id":"310660","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","question":"Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for LA-05?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/la-05-republican-primary-winner-9i8Rfdx6tZJT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-26T20:20:31.347178Z","end_date":"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:10:09.306255Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:12.343498Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/la-05-republican-primary-winner/will-another-candidate-be-the-republican-nominee-for-la-05","event_title":"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/310660","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:57:49.599616Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 8% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}