{"source":"polymarket","id":"329566","ticker":"fed-rate-hike-by","slug":"fed-rate-hike-by","title":"Fed rate hike by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nEmergency rate hikes will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:39:48.224553Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":157501.58732700002,"volume_24hr":295.063022,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.274742126464844,"normalized_volume":31.416006088256836,"liquidity":76471.38843,"open_interest":13578.031045000002,"categories":["Finance","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"702","slug":"inflation","label":"Inflation"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October Meeting","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.014999999999999958,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-55.53,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:51:58.656142Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:51:58.656142Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-by","chart_24h":[352.72231600000003,200.65,349.901912,349.901912,461.013022,467.013022,461.483022,321.483022,271.483022,271.483022,291.363022,291.363022,291.363022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022,295.063022],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1808547","event_id":"329566","slug":"fed-rate-hike-by-september-2026-meeting","question":"Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?","group_item_title":"September Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nEmergency rate hikes will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:37:32.503651Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4014.056125999999,"volume_24hr":28.269375,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":18.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.715484619140625,"normalized_volume":17.661590576171875,"liquidity":15474.0516,"categories":["Finance","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:40:48.054361Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:38:18.538721Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-by/fed-rate-hike-by-september-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate hike by...?","chart_24h":[0.275,0.27,0.275,0.275,0.28,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.255,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.255,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1808546","event_id":"329566","slug":"fed-rate-hike-by-july-2026-meeting","question":"Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?","group_item_title":"July Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nEmergency rate hikes will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0805,0.9195],"probability":0.0805,"spread":0.069,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:37:28.411881Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2640.8647489999994,"volume_24hr":38.571427,"prob_24h_change":0.007500000000000007,"volume_24h_change":33.451427,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.595396518707275,"normalized_volume":15.924723625183105,"liquidity":20223.40156,"categories":["Finance","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:26:27.902544Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:24:14.740304Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-by/fed-rate-hike-by-july-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate hike by...?","chart_24h":[0.073,0.071,0.0725,0.0735,0.076,0.0765,0.0775,0.076,0.078,0.078,0.0825,0.084,0.084,0.0795,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.0785,0.079,0.079,0.079,0.08,0.0795,0.0805,0.0815,0.085,0.081,0.08,0.0795,0.0805,0.0795,0.0795,0.0805,0.0805]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1808545","event_id":"329566","slug":"fed-rate-hike-by-june-2026-meeting","question":"Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?","group_item_title":"June Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nEmergency rate hikes will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0085,0.9915],"probability":0.0085,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:37:30.651310Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16778.89287900001,"volume_24hr":228.22222,"prob_24h_change":0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":88.22222,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.216081619262695,"normalized_volume":24.274185180664062,"liquidity":31179.35821,"categories":["Finance","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:44:44.556017Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:31:43.848523Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-by/fed-rate-hike-by-june-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate hike by...?","chart_24h":[0.0075,0.0075,0.0085,0.0085,0.0085,0.0085,0.0085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1808548","event_id":"329566","slug":"fed-rate-hike-by-october-2026-meeting","question":"Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?","group_item_title":"October Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nEmergency rate hikes will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:37:32.250732Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2759.813282,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.014999999999999958,"volume_24h_change":-55.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.103240966796875,"liquidity":13428.5095,"categories":["Finance","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:12:29.718963Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T13:10:18.357245Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-by/fed-rate-hike-by-october-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate hike by...?","chart_24h":[0.395,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.395,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1808544","event_id":"329566","slug":"fed-rate-hike-by-april-2026-meeting","question":"Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?","group_item_title":"April Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nEmergency rate hikes will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-hike-by-8cpilck5mcVg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:37:30.398099Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-29T21:45:46Z","volume":131307.960291,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.627479553222656,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Finance","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:12.343498Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:12.343498Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-by/fed-rate-hike-by-april-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate hike by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/329566","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:54:29.312486Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Fed rate hike by...?\" — top market at 1% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}