{"source":"polymarket","id":"329682","ticker":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:43:59.874795Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41371.08601700001,"volume_24hr":4.71875,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2562047243118286,"normalized_volume":22.953310012817383,"liquidity":85.95995,"open_interest":88.960509,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"102240","slug":"bolivia","label":"Bolivia"},{"id":"592","slug":"arrest","label":"arrest"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"July 31","top_outcome_probability":0.017,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5.976556,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T18:09:46.575639Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T18:09:46.575639Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","chart_24h":[10.695306,10.695306,10.695306,10.695306,10.695306,10.695306,10.695306,10.695306,3.003,3.003,3.003,3.003,3.003,3.003,3.003,3.003,3.003,3.003,3.003,0.0,0.0,4.71875,4.71875,4.71875,4.71875,4.71875,4.71875,4.71875,4.71875],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2695465","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-july-31-20260626153647183","question":"Evo Morales arrested by July 31?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-26T17:34:14.953852Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27.784103,"volume_24hr":4.71875,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-5.976556,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2562241554260254,"normalized_volume":3.1347737312316895,"liquidity":84.95049,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T17:25:51.188239Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T17:21:57.753853Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T16:45:56.758333Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-july-31-20260626153647183","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.018,0.018,0.0195,0.0205,0.016,0.017]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1809064","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","question":"Evo Morales arrested by May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:40:30.028000Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T07:06:59Z","volume":37756.93586600001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.843814849853516,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T07:17:57.086822Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T05:01:32.081181Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317906","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-june-30","question":"Evo Morales arrested by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-21T02:53:15.862477Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T09:00:35Z","volume":3586.366048000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.604976654052734,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T09:09:34.509497Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T07:04:34.817677Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T02:47:21.044644Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-june-30","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/329682","as_of":"2026-07-21T18:16:31.457182Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Evo Morales arrested by...?\" — top market at 2% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}