{"source":"polymarket","id":"329682","ticker":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:43:59.874795Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42137.58669700001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.798542022705078,"liquidity":32.27761,"open_interest":282.74203,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"102240","slug":"bolivia","label":"Bolivia"},{"id":"592","slug":"arrest","label":"arrest"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30","top_outcome_probability":0.435,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-11.43,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T05:00:51.873169Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T05:00:51.873169Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","chart_24h":[11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,11.43,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3205505","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-september-30-20260728185321638","question":"Evo Morales arrested by September 30?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.832,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T16:55:29.651297Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":246.78579000000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-11.43,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.915702819824219,"liquidity":35.07577,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T05:00:52.285544Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T05:00:52.285544Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T16:56:50.788064Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-september-30-20260728185321638","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.4365,0.435,0.4365,0.436,0.436,0.435,0.4365,0.43,0.4295,0.436,0.4365,0.4355,0.4355,0.424,0.434,0.436,0.434,0.436,0.4355,0.4365,0.4365,0.431,0.435,0.432,0.435,0.43,0.438,0.429,0.43,0.432,0.435,0.43,0.429,0.435,0.434]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1809064","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","question":"Evo Morales arrested by May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:40:30.028000Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T07:06:59Z","volume":37756.93586600001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.58689498901367,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T07:17:57.086822Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T05:01:32.081181Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317906","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-june-30","question":"Evo Morales arrested by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-21T02:53:15.862477Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T09:00:35Z","volume":3586.366048000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.656400680541992,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T09:09:34.509497Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T07:04:34.817677Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T02:47:21.044644Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-june-30","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2695465","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-july-31-20260626153647183","question":"Evo Morales arrested by July 31?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-26T17:34:14.953852Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T06:11:47Z","volume":547.498993,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.671304702758789,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"countries":["Bolivia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T08:24:13.988566Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T04:26:47.552366Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T16:45:56.758333Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-july-31-20260626153647183","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/329682","as_of":"2026-09-09T05:06:36.599933Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Evo Morales arrested by...?\" — top market at 44% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}