{"source":"polymarket","id":"329682","ticker":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:43:59.874795Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31441.154945000006,"volume_24hr":2510.382292,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.38472557067871,"normalized_volume":24.436155319213867,"liquidity":4682.3041,"open_interest":9042.112742,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"592","slug":"arrest","label":"arrest"},{"id":"102240","slug":"bolivia","label":"Bolivia"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.10499999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-121.937511,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T06:17:13.776399Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T06:17:13.776399Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","chart_24h":[346.06877099999997,388.564955,388.564955,393.884955,423.884955,346.948435,236.689302,236.689302,236.689302,216.689302,230.022638,230.022638,230.022638,240.77462699999998,245.77462699999998,231.444627,232.77795899999998,232.77795899999998,234.97575899999998,445.26842,445.26842,445.26842,445.26842,617.30842,1896.884666,2133.7376799999997,2373.1391599999997,2396.647729,2410.382292,2410.382292,2410.382292,2510.382292,2510.382292],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2317906","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-june-30","question":"Evo Morales arrested by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T02:53:15.862477Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":534.6896019999999,"volume_24hr":38.681253,"prob_24h_change":0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-121.937511,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.297268867492676,"normalized_volume":11.584012985229492,"liquidity":686.9381,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T06:19:06.513457Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T06:17:13.981663Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T02:47:21.044644Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-june-30","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.345,0.34,0.345,0.34,0.325,0.335,0.365,0.355,0.35,0.385,0.335,0.335,0.31,0.345,0.33,0.3,0.315,0.365,0.345,0.325,0.33,0.32,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.41,0.45,0.445,0.465,0.465,0.44,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1809064","event_id":"329682","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","question":"Evo Morales arrested by May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-XlIt6nRUZjQT.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T21:40:30.028000Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31079.784819000008,"volume_24hr":2639.526012,"prob_24h_change":0.13499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":2454.076005,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.26955223083496,"normalized_volume":31.39454460144043,"liquidity":2415.3418,"categories":["Politics","Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T06:21:59.433023Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T06:17:13.981663Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31","event_title":"Evo Morales arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.085,0.085,0.09,0.085,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.105,0.105,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.075,0.075,0.2,0.135,0.325,0.22,0.235,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.235]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/329682","as_of":"2026-05-28T06:23:29.804384Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Evo Morales arrested by...?\" — top market at 24% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}