{"source":"polymarket","id":"330194","ticker":"will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-june-30","slug":"will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-june-30","title":"Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.\n\nCountries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-in-2025-yeb6gautupMc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-in-2025-yeb6gautupMc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T18:08:25.083840Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30559.16458000005,"volume_24hr":2043.1694690000006,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.4667911529541,"normalized_volume":24.366880416870117,"liquidity":15776.4804,"open_interest":5752.351694,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"61","slug":"gaza","label":"Gaza"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.125,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1542.9313529999997,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:20.225566Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:20.225566Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-june-30","chart_24h":[3586.1008220000003,3586.1008220000003,3586.1008220000003,3601.8902940000003,3601.8902940000003,3650.4902940000006,3650.4902940000006,3650.4902940000006,3650.4902940000006,3528.9820600000003,3528.9820600000003,3528.9820600000003,4640.36206,4640.36206,4640.36206,4640.36206,4640.36206,4640.36206,4640.36206,4640.36206,4640.36206,4699.442060000001,4699.442060000001,4699.442060000001,4680.692060000001,4680.692060000001,4680.692060000001,4680.692060000001,4720.692057000001,4737.572057000001,2021.9789910000006,2066.9789910000004,2066.9789910000004,2043.1694690000006,2043.1694690000006],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1811209","event_id":"330194","slug":"will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-june-30","question":"Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.\n\nCountries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-in-2025-yeb6gautupMc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-in-2025-yeb6gautupMc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T18:06:44.420533Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30559.16458000005,"volume_24hr":2043.1694690000006,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-1542.9313529999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.717201232910156,"normalized_volume":31.29209327697754,"liquidity":17779.2055,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:31:16.751679Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:29:05.000325Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-june-30/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-june-30","event_title":"Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.165,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.095,0.125,0.145,0.145,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.125,0.125,0.125]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/330194","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:04:58.183376Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?\" — top market at 12% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}