{"source":"polymarket","id":"330214","ticker":"will-another-country-recognize-somaliland-by-june-30","slug":"will-another-country-recognize-somaliland-by-june-30","title":"Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?","description":"On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+somaliland.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+somaliland.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T19:45:52.247495Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16871.927464999982,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.801910400390625,"liquidity":11975.01948,"open_interest":5517.354982,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104290","slug":"somaliland","label":"Somaliland"},{"id":"103063","slug":"somalia","label":"somalia"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.05,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.005500000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-62.56,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:42:52.336861Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:42:52.336861Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-another-country-recognize-somaliland-by-june-30","chart_24h":[62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,62.56,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,57.6,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1811257","event_id":"330214","slug":"will-another-country-recognize-somaliland-by-june-30","question":"Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+somaliland.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+somaliland.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.038,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T19:43:12.567979Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16871.927464999982,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.005500000000000005,"volume_24h_change":-62.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.301786422729492,"liquidity":14026.79736,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:06:12.147517Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:36:34.560542Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-another-country-recognize-somaliland-by-june-30/will-another-country-recognize-somaliland-by-june-30","event_title":"Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.0445,0.0405,0.04,0.046,0.046,0.0455,0.05,0.05,0.0495,0.045,0.0445,0.0445,0.0495,0.0435,0.0405,0.0395,0.0475,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/330214","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:54:41.113969Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}