{"source":"polymarket","id":"336642","ticker":"kimi-k3-released-by","slug":"kimi-k3-released-by","title":"Kimi K3 released by…?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nKimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.\n\nProducts labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-02T22:17:15.915080Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45082.13139299999,"volume_24hr":1278.6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.04358673095703,"normalized_volume":26.172727584838867,"liquidity":5701.2472,"open_interest":2324.3147129999998,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"104430","slug":"kimi","label":"Kimi"},{"id":"104431","slug":"moonshot","label":"Moonshot"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.195,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.065,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T02:40:25.295074Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T02:40:25.295074Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kimi-k3-released-by","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1047.61,1278.6,1278.6,1278.6,1278.6,1278.6,1278.6,1278.6],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2110217","event_id":"336642","slug":"will-moonshot-ais-kimi-k3-model-be-released-by-may-31-2026","question":"Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nKimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.\n\nProducts labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-28T20:05:35.820164Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6691.493398,"volume_24hr":1278.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.053000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":1278.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.96392059326172,"normalized_volume":22.76543426513672,"liquidity":3313.48952,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T02:42:16.719588Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T23:55:08.179201Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kimi-k3-released-by/will-moonshot-ais-kimi-k3-model-be-released-by-may-31-2026","event_title":"Kimi K3 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.065,0.0645,0.0645,0.0645,0.0645,0.027,0.0235,0.016,0.015,0.013,0.012]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1832176","event_id":"336642","slug":"will-moonshot-ais-kimi-k3-model-be-released-by-june-30-2026","question":"Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nKimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.\n\nProducts labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-02T22:14:19.067505Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4988.711180999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.273115158081055,"liquidity":1719.8608,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T02:14:34.718928Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T02:12:49.860896Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kimi-k3-released-by/will-moonshot-ais-kimi-k3-model-be-released-by-june-30-2026","event_title":"Kimi K3 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.215,0.21,0.23,0.225,0.2,0.19,0.185,0.19,0.195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1832175","event_id":"336642","slug":"will-moonshot-ais-kimi-k3-model-be-released-by-april-30-2026","question":"Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"April 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nKimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.\n\nProducts labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-02T22:14:18.814711Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T06:54:52Z","volume":33401.92681399999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.83342742919922,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:12.343498Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:12.343498Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/kimi-k3-released-by/will-moonshot-ais-kimi-k3-model-be-released-by-april-30-2026","event_title":"Kimi K3 released by…?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/336642","as_of":"2026-05-28T02:48:51.966306Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Kimi K3 released by…?\" — top market at 1% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}