{"source":"polymarket","id":"36307","ticker":"gpt-6-released-by","slug":"gpt-6-released-by","title":"GPT-6 released by…?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-07T20:45:08.400421Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":503700.5467429992,"volume_24hr":15102.854814999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.470062255859375,"normalized_volume":35.13650894165039,"liquidity":114707.08467,"open_interest":97615.82796899999,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"102464","slug":"gpt-5","label":"GPT-5"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"285","slug":"sam-altman","label":"sam altman"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.915,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-3822.2637110000005,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:08:46.102922Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T01:08:46.102922Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by","chart_24h":[30560.587676000003,20259.87832,21601.60153,22986.729908,22411.273240000002,22713.273240000002,21442.600120000003,21361.600120000003,19219.390511000005,19145.390511000005,20538.265211,22391.718717000003,22366.131691000002,21396.652950000003,23520.790880000004,23497.790880000004,23920.485844000003,20852.199518999998,20541.011872999996,21189.296315999996,21037.769876,19980.641274999998,20146.865767,20405.975766999996,21273.395492999996,18633.029341,18665.933577,18855.042825,17769.889117,17382.880105,16832.880104999997,16470.120104999998,15356.819555999999,15102.854814999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"676829","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31-2026-834-362-194-984-527","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.915,0.085],"probability":0.915,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T22:08:00.534000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":63720.61160400002,"volume_24hr":2923.5561389999993,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-3822.2637110000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.498403549194336,"normalized_volume":34.3244514465332,"liquidity":36086.7336,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:12:17.352188Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:57:42.297921Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31-2026-834-362-194-984-527","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.905,0.93,0.935,0.935,0.935,0.935,0.935,0.935,0.925,0.925,0.925,0.925,0.925,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.915]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1333258","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-september-30-2026-543-325-933-952","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-04T18:11:27.891000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49947.33456699997,"volume_24hr":7179.778202,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":-708.1114750000024,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.84788703918457,"normalized_volume":32.82978820800781,"liquidity":25778.345,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:12:17.352188Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:57:42.297921Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-september-30-2026-543-325-933-952","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.715,0.715,0.715,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.735,0.735,0.725,0.73,0.72,0.715,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.725,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850825","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-31-2026-778","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T21:29:15.148000Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5819.494815,"volume_24hr":2752.186357,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-123.06844999999976,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.159244537353516,"normalized_volume":21.079797744750977,"liquidity":10931.3667,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:12:17.352188Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T01:08:47.036440Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T21:31:50.043272Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-31-2026-778","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.435,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.425,0.435,0.435,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.535,0.475,0.46,0.46,0.455,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2853462","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-21-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 21, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T01:06:03.977945Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":530.219511,"volume_24hr":470.219511,"prob_24h_change":-0.07499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":410.219511,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.382893562316895,"normalized_volume":11.04500961303711,"liquidity":3596.9485,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T00:17:10.118427Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:13:31.459133Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T01:18:51.707315Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-21-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.295,0.315,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.29,0.295,0.295,0.295,0.205,0.205,0.21,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.185,0.185,0.22,0.23,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2853384","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-14-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 14, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T01:06:00.164200Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":669.66829,"volume_24hr":278.38829,"prob_24h_change":-0.075,"volume_24h_change":-112.89170999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.20640754699707,"normalized_volume":11.88081169128418,"liquidity":4970.5424,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:12:17.352188Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:57:42.297921Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T01:18:51.707315Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-14-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19,0.18,0.175,0.16,0.16,0.165,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.155,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.135,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.11,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2853307","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-7-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 7, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-09T01:06:00.912892Z","end_date":"2026-08-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3954.2159689999994,"volume_24hr":358.075257,"prob_24h_change":-0.045,"volume_24h_change":-3238.065455,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.227127075195312,"normalized_volume":19.242774963378906,"liquidity":10103.3776,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:12:17.352188Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T01:08:47.036440Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T01:18:51.707315Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-7-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.115,0.115,0.12,0.105,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2498739","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-july-31-2026-20260610221318220-197","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? 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Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.024,0.976],"probability":0.024,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T22:19:59.699000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50927.69989400002,"volume_24hr":1140.651059,"prob_24h_change":-0.0075,"volume_24h_change":-5240.894109,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.507413864135742,"normalized_volume":32.94786071777344,"liquidity":24073.91315,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-11T01:12:17.352188Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T00:43:37.881131Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T22:20:14.602709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-july-31-2026-20260610221318220-197","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.0315,0.0315,0.0325,0.03,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.026,0.026,0.026,0.026,0.0255,0.024,0.024,0.024,0.024]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"573825","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-08-07T20:35:56.592000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T09:38:41Z","volume":107893.226223,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.670318603515625,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"573826","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-march-31-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"March 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-08-07T20:35:37.765000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T07:57:27Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-march-31-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"676828","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-june-30-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-12T22:08:00.792249Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T06:05:07Z","volume":220238.0758699992,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.45207595825195,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T06:05:58.619492Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T21:18:21.319890Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-june-30-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/36307","as_of":"2026-07-11T01:15:03.790926Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"GPT-6 released by…?\" — top market at 73% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}