{"source":"polymarket","id":"36307","ticker":"gpt-6-released-by","slug":"gpt-6-released-by","title":"GPT-6 released by…?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-07T20:45:08.400421Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1558787.3063509993,"volume_24hr":10618.847518,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.73774719238281,"normalized_volume":46.284934997558594,"liquidity":51948.40876,"open_interest":191890.730206,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"102464","slug":"gpt-5","label":"GPT-5"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"285","slug":"sam-altman","label":"sam altman"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.7,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-432.827582,"updated_at":"2026-08-25T04:39:51.846043Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T04:39:51.846043Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by","chart_24h":[8781.043002999999,8781.043002999999,8740.402337,8214.792336999999,8221.632337000001,8224.682337,8244.612337,8244.612337,8455.756714000001,8722.865539,9022.865539,10313.061968,10276.561968,10250.941968,11592.280349,13829.920349,13742.698798,13665.518798000001,13189.628798000002,12517.646496000001,12504.029473,11346.91444,11550.307518,11198.557518,11305.887518,11307.577518,10618.847518],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"676829","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31-2026-834-362-194-984-527-328-225","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.3],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-12T22:08:00.534000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":151577.64302600003,"volume_24hr":720.023593,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-432.827582,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.70527458190918,"normalized_volume":41.749000549316406,"liquidity":15838.9811,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T04:39:53.119978Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T04:39:53.119978Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31-2026-834-362-194-984-527-328-225","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.69,0.695,0.695,0.695,0.695,0.695,0.7,0.705,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3584209","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.44],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:35:13.184473Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.325282,"volume_24hr":6.382977,"prob_24h_change":-0.039999999999999925,"volume_24h_change":-1.3093279999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7263389825820923,"normalized_volume":2.7470133304595947,"liquidity":812.1711,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T04:52:30.930944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T04:39:53.119978Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T15:36:49.966468Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.595,0.6,0.6,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.595,0.565,0.565,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.56]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3584200","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-october-31-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:35:12.109339Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1690.1569599999998,"volume_24hr":171.92,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999967,"volume_24h_change":165.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.468724250793457,"normalized_volume":16.21048927307129,"liquidity":2249.3136,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T04:52:30.930944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T04:39:53.119978Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T15:36:49.966468Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-october-31-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.455,0.465,0.475,0.47,0.465,0.47,0.475,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.46,0.465,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.465,0.475,0.47,0.475,0.475,0.47,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1333258","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-september-30-2026-543-325-933-952-413","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.345,0.655],"probability":0.345,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-04T18:11:27.891000Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":261273.9229680002,"volume_24hr":2180.254532,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":365.11454000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.527685165405273,"normalized_volume":45.647071838378906,"liquidity":13687.4611,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T04:54:40.517632Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T04:39:53.119978Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-september-30-2026-543-325-933-952-413","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.35,0.345,0.345,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345,0.345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2850825","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-31-2026-778","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0125,0.9875],"probability":0.0125,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-08T21:29:15.148000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":258611.79307099996,"volume_24hr":7540.266416,"prob_24h_change":0.002,"volume_24h_change":1982.0768850000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.430721282958984,"normalized_volume":45.5721435546875,"liquidity":17454.42836,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T04:27:40.067873Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T04:12:34.217655Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T21:31:50.043272Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-31-2026-778","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.011,0.011,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0115,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3584199","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-september-15-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 15, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:33:31.554181Z","end_date":"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1710.381478,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":-240.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.26238250732422,"liquidity":2059.247,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-25T04:52:30.930944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-25T04:12:34.217655Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T15:36:49.966468Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-september-15-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.195,0.195,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2498739","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-july-31-2026-20260610221318220-197","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? 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Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-10T22:19:59.699000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T06:05:09Z","volume":84202.62760700002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.73552322387695,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T06:09:16.364540Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T01:22:54.434264Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T22:20:14.602709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-july-31-2026-20260610221318220-197","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2853307","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-7-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 7, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-09T01:06:00.912892Z","end_date":"2026-08-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-08T06:01:58Z","volume":109784.94887200001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.52163314819336,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-09T06:24:16.179205Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-09T01:34:30.782852Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T01:18:51.707315Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-7-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2853384","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-14-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 14, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-09T01:06:00.164200Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-15T06:00:57Z","volume":171415.39513499997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.61433410644531,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T06:22:17.577301Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T00:11:53.940132Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T01:18:51.707315Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-14-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2853462","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-21-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 21, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-07-09T01:06:03.977945Z","end_date":"2026-08-22T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-22T06:01:12Z","volume":190368.80985899997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.35920333862305,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-23T06:15:06.188201Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T23:00:05.302898Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T01:18:51.707315Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-21-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"573825","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-08-07T20:35:56.592000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T09:38:41Z","volume":107893.226223,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.40334701538086,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-december-31","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"573826","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-march-31-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"March 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-08-07T20:35:37.765000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T07:57:27Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-march-31-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"676828","event_id":"36307","slug":"will-gpt-6-be-released-by-june-30-2026","question":"Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.\n\nGPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-12T22:08:00.792249Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-01T06:05:07Z","volume":220238.0758699992,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.40509033203125,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T06:05:58.619492Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-01T21:18:21.319890Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-6-released-by/will-gpt-6-be-released-by-june-30-2026","event_title":"GPT-6 released by…?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/36307","as_of":"2026-08-25T05:06:01.558417Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"GPT-6 released by…?\" — top market at 1% probability across 13 outcomes","source_url":null}}