{"source":"polymarket","id":"385797","ticker":"will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by","slug":"will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by","title":"Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nStatements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.\n\nIf Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-27vxrxTXfvPr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-27vxrxTXfvPr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T17:03:45.477852Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16413.125912000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.657546997070312,"liquidity":11895.05529,"open_interest":2566.728021,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"129","slug":"federal-reserve","label":"federal reserve"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"103339","slug":"fed-chair","label":"Fed Chair"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:47:40.054364Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:47:40.054364Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2000296","event_id":"385797","slug":"will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-december-31-2026-239","question":"Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nStatements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.\n\nIf Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-27vxrxTXfvPr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-27vxrxTXfvPr.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T16:58:31.849307Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7211.381162000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.243087768554688,"liquidity":1933.0694,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:10:48.287550Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:09:02.937568Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-december-31-2026-239","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2000297","event_id":"385797","slug":"will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-june-30-2026","question":"Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nStatements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.\n\nIf Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-27vxrxTXfvPr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-27vxrxTXfvPr.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.056,0.944],"probability":0.056,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T16:58:33.853681Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9201.744750000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.36897850036621,"liquidity":8447.86649,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:41:40.217937Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:39:42.266898Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-june-30-2026","event_title":"Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?","chart_24h":[0.0565,0.056]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/385797","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:55:48.676997Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?\" — top market at 22% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}