{"source":"polymarket","id":"39662","ticker":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30","slug":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30","title":"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.    \n\nCeasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.\n\nOnly deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-26T01:16:32.647406Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8485517.468558995,"volume_24hr":9264.949999999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.111757278442383,"normalized_volume":57.994789123535156,"liquidity":12811.37165,"open_interest":26595.245599,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"114","slug":"syria","label":"Syria"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"102824","slug":"trump-x-al-sharaa","label":"Trump x al-Sharaa"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.066,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.006499999999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9171.774628,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T06:16:37.477852Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T06:16:37.477852Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30","chart_24h":[93.175372,17.17,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,11.49,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,810.0,1619.99,1619.99,3239.97,3239.97,6970.96,6970.96,9264.949999999999],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1116646","event_id":"39662","slug":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-june-30","question":"Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.    \n\nCeasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.\n\nOnly deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.066,0.934],"probability":0.066,"spread":0.032,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-05T22:56:12.404932Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7902816.514761995,"volume_24hr":9264.949999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.006499999999999992,"volume_24h_change":9171.774628,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.6197509765625,"normalized_volume":74.0113754272461,"liquidity":12878.15752,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T06:19:06.513457Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T06:16:37.643021Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-june-30","event_title":"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?","chart_24h":[0.0725,0.0715,0.069,0.068,0.0675,0.0765,0.072,0.0735,0.073,0.0725,0.0735,0.071,0.07,0.0685,0.068,0.068,0.068,0.068,0.068,0.068,0.068,0.0685,0.068,0.0545,0.068,0.066,0.066,0.0665]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1116645","event_id":"39662","slug":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-march-31","question":"Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.    \n\nCeasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.\n\nOnly deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-05T22:56:14.351160Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T08:11:15Z","volume":152061.68471700014,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.77132034301758,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-march-31","event_title":"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"581165","event_id":"39662","slug":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30","question":"Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.    \n\nCeasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.\n\nOnly deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-08-26T01:10:21.209000Z","end_date":"2025-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-10-01T07:52:05Z","volume":235947.811644,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.903873443603516,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30","event_title":"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"602010","event_id":"39662","slug":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-december-31-629-842","question":"Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.    \n\nCeasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.\n\nOnly deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-09-17T22:11:59.070000Z","end_date":"2025-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T07:52:49Z","volume":108205.882955,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.42302703857422,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-december-31-629-842","event_title":"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"612709","event_id":"39662","slug":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-october-31","question":"Israel x Syria security agreement by October 31?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.    \n\nCeasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.\n\nOnly deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-09-25T18:00:14.979595Z","end_date":"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-11-01T06:39:58Z","volume":7162.192392,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.118112564086914,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-october-31","event_title":"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"675787","event_id":"39662","slug":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-november-30","question":"Israel x Syria security agreement by November 30?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.    \n\nCeasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.\n\nOnly deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-11T03:15:52.507046Z","end_date":"2025-11-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-12-01T09:23:28Z","volume":5438.434571,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.70648765563965,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-november-30","event_title":"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"675788","event_id":"39662","slug":"israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-january-31","question":"Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?","group_item_title":"January 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.    \n\nCeasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.\n\nOnly deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30-feE3ATNUG06B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-11T03:15:52.763156Z","end_date":"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-01T07:40:50Z","volume":73884.947518,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.870662689208984,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-september-30/israel-x-syria-security-agreement-by-january-31","event_title":"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/39662","as_of":"2026-05-28T06:23:02.421682Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israel x Syria security agreement by...?\" — top market at 7% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}