{"source":"polymarket","id":"401427","ticker":"colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory","slug":"colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory","title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:41:43.299440Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45145.733442000004,"volume_24hr":5708.644102,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.354217529296875,"normalized_volume":26.24306297302246,"liquidity":110653.92727,"open_interest":19542.589998,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"104117","slug":"colombia-election","label":"Colombia Election"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"de la Espriella Win","top_outcome_probability":0.365,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.044999999999999984,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1830.834199,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:30.975261Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:30.975261Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory","chart_24h":[5711.592344,5711.592344,5779.698015,5622.8409169999995,5598.8409169999995,5494.730917,5458.730917,5329.110917,5689.430917,5689.430917,5589.057531,5497.465804,5417.455804,5450.291622,4650.291622,4717.571622,4464.065603,4464.065603,4431.740021,4431.740021,5649.237962,5009.237962,5009.237962,5130.007962,5166.007962,5187.007962,5186.627962,5196.061923,5196.061923,5222.686923,5222.686923,4242.686923,4715.729561,4339.360865000001,5708.644102],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2039649","event_id":"401427","slug":"will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","question":"Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","group_item_title":"de la Espriella Win","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-3VWaM4IA1oD-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-3VWaM4IA1oD-.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:35:57.848910Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10030.157221,"volume_24hr":282.944335,"prob_24h_change":0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":-1830.834199,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.475008964538574,"normalized_volume":24.905363082885742,"liquidity":12743.1825,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:31.171591Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory/will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","event_title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.295,0.295,0.295,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.335,0.345,0.315,0.335,0.315,0.315,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.325,0.335,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.365,0.375,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2039648","event_id":"401427","slug":"will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-0-5","question":"Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?","group_item_title":"Cepeda Castro 0-5%","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-0-5-N_WB-mhpjmST.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-0-5-N_WB-mhpjmST.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.142,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:35:51.705859Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6953.5964619999995,"volume_24hr":839.1596750000001,"prob_24h_change":0.046500000000000014,"volume_24h_change":-813.4294769999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.726598739624023,"normalized_volume":22.964435577392578,"liquidity":8065.58888,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:28.372819Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:31.171591Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-0-5","event_title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.2085,0.2205,0.2005,0.2015,0.184,0.195,0.1945,0.2015,0.2,0.2065,0.1975,0.211,0.2055,0.2035,0.2135,0.202,0.21,0.2075,0.2325,0.2155,0.234,0.2295,0.215,0.1895,0.1895,0.1895,0.1895,0.1965,0.1965,0.198,0.2375,0.2235,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2039646","event_id":"401427","slug":"will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-10-15","question":"Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?","group_item_title":"Cepeda Castro 10-15%","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-10-15-TQwR1EU0rG76.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-10-15-TQwR1EU0rG76.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:35:39.666350Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5704.571596000001,"volume_24hr":1076.385078,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":541.712175,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.060218811035156,"normalized_volume":21.948251724243164,"liquidity":16719.6532,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:31.171591Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:31.171591Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-10-15","event_title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.245,0.245,0.235,0.225,0.225,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2039647","event_id":"401427","slug":"will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-5-10","question":"Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?","group_item_title":"Cepeda Castro 5-10%","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-5-10-2DLRQiJqSbeD.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-5-10-2DLRQiJqSbeD.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:35:45.841208Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4278.3296119999995,"volume_24hr":1152.201985,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":570.7860229999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.433307647705078,"normalized_volume":20.512659072875977,"liquidity":12355.9179,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:42:19.611805Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:40:12.695398Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-5-10","event_title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.185,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.175,0.175,0.175,0.185,0.185,0.195,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2039645","event_id":"401427","slug":"will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-15-20","question":"Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?","group_item_title":"Cepeda Castro 15-20%","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-15-20-Qt3qnDDVmyQC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-15-20-Qt3qnDDVmyQC.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:35:34.691861Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4978.905818000003,"volume_24hr":526.756815,"prob_24h_change":-0.023499999999999993,"volume_24h_change":366.27102199999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.363065719604492,"normalized_volume":21.263288497924805,"liquidity":13264.39903,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:42:19.611805Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:40:12.695398Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-15-20","event_title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.0885,0.0975,0.0915,0.091,0.092,0.092,0.092,0.089,0.089,0.0975,0.091,0.0905,0.089,0.0885,0.0975,0.09,0.0915,0.0915,0.0875,0.0905,0.0875,0.0885,0.09,0.0925,0.086,0.0875,0.0875,0.0915,0.095,0.0855,0.0855,0.083,0.079,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2039644","event_id":"401427","slug":"will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-20","question":"Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?","group_item_title":"Cepeda Castro 20%+","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-20-zzeFny0GMFmc.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-20-zzeFny0GMFmc.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.024,0.976],"probability":0.024,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:35:29.389776Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6125.0970069999985,"volume_24hr":555.5268689999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.0075,"volume_24h_change":499.1568689999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.624341011047363,"normalized_volume":22.310657501220703,"liquidity":17468.59525,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:28.372819Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:31.171591Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory/will-ivn-cepeda-castro-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-by-20","event_title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.0315,0.031,0.0325,0.032,0.033,0.0335,0.034,0.0325,0.0305,0.031,0.0325,0.033,0.0325,0.032,0.0335,0.033,0.034,0.0315,0.034,0.0315,0.0315,0.022,0.022,0.0215,0.022,0.022,0.0285,0.025,0.0245,0.0245,0.024]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2039650","event_id":"401427","slug":"will-paloma-valencia-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","question":"Will Paloma Valencia win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","group_item_title":"Valencia Win","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-paloma-valencia-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-nHRSPcc3Gt3o.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-paloma-valencia-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election-nHRSPcc3Gt3o.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:36:03.815575Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3718.811228,"volume_24hr":640.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005,"volume_24h_change":633.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.330673217773438,"normalized_volume":19.830913543701172,"liquidity":15088.78593,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:31.171591Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory/will-paloma-valencia-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","event_title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.002,0.003,0.0035,0.003,0.003,0.0025,0.0025,0.0035,0.003,0.0035,0.0025,0.0035,0.0025,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.003,0.0025,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2039651","event_id":"401427","slug":"will-another-candidate-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","question":"Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, with a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner-mZ_LYPs3S8OL.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T19:36:07.928440Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3556.264498,"volume_24hr":240.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005,"volume_24h_change":-366.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.761235237121582,"normalized_volume":19.615949630737305,"liquidity":14571.14177,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:42:19.611805Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:40:12.695398Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory/will-another-candidate-win-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election","event_title":"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?","chart_24h":[0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.003,0.0025,0.0025]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/401427","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:04:10.007197Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?\" — top market at 19% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}