{"source":"polymarket","id":"403169","ticker":"another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-811","slug":"another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-811","title":"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T14:42:27.430376Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40796.65204000001,"volume_24hr":3908.8941640000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.097427368164062,"normalized_volume":25.749357223510742,"liquidity":797.9916,"open_interest":8408.049618,"categories":["Climate and Weather","Science and Technology","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"103038","slug":"earthquakes","label":"Earthquakes"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"496","slug":"natural-disasters","label":"Natural Disasters"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"May 30","top_outcome_probability":0.24,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2132.5074990000003,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:30.975261Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:30.975261Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-811","chart_24h":[1840.6366649999998,1776.3866649999998,1787.1009459999998,1811.7373079999998,2069.077308,2143.5863069999996,2143.5863069999996,2143.5863069999996,2199.9830429999997,2633.8657999999996,2954.9658,3286.3658,3286.3658,5045.489135,5050.289135,5050.289135,5050.289135,5055.289135,5268.804334,5384.090047000001,5384.090047000001,5396.138235,5396.138235,5524.138235,5524.138235,5536.042991,5536.042991,5541.732991,5554.674164000001,5604.564164000001,5304.564164,5304.564164,3991.1941640000005,3914.8941640000003,3908.8941640000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2043890","event_id":"403169","slug":"another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-may-30-2026","question":"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"May 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-21T14:38:13.081918Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17497.521637999995,"volume_24hr":3908.8941640000003,"prob_24h_change":0.06999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":2132.5074990000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.747041702270508,"normalized_volume":28.004377365112305,"liquidity":797.9916,"categories":["Climate and Weather","Science and Technology","Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:42:19.611805Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:40:12.695398Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-811/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-may-30-2026","event_title":"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.165,0.165,0.145,0.16,0.145,0.155,0.215,0.35,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.175,0.185,0.19,0.18,0.195,0.18,0.185,0.175,0.175,0.18,0.22,0.225,0.215,0.23,0.24]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2043888","event_id":"403169","slug":"another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-april-30-2026-489","question":"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"April 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-21T14:38:17.289378Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T09:53:40Z","volume":13247.343314,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.431974411010742,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Climate and Weather","Science and Technology","Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:41.516827Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:41.516827Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-811/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-april-30-2026-489","event_title":"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2043889","event_id":"403169","slug":"another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-may-15-2026","question":"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"May 15","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/earthquake-7pt0-or-above-by-august-31-698-AANrykUigfWS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-21T14:38:11.314644Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-19T21:14:45Z","volume":10051.787088000012,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.917009353637695,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Climate and Weather","Science and Technology","Culture"],"updated_at":"2026-05-20T21:23:09.509535Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-20T19:22:06.276670Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-811/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-may-15-2026","event_title":"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/403169","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:52.635439Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?\" — top market at 24% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}