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The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.785,0.215],"probability":0.785,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T17:10:29.664592Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2320.8782880000003,"volume_24hr":297.620252,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":152.626408,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.698589324951172,"normalized_volume":17.622453689575195,"liquidity":4091.7163,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T17:07:26.413590Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:08:48.420966Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mt-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-ryan-busse-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","event_title":"MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.785,0.785,0.785,0.785,0.785,0.785,0.785,0.785,0.785,0.785,0.785,0.78,0.785,0.785]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2044393","event_id":"403390","slug":"will-samuel-forstag-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","question":"Will Samuel Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?","group_item_title":"Samuel Forstag","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T17:10:41.857710Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1791.1316590000001,"volume_24hr":255.156662,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":34.397144,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.02426528930664,"normalized_volume":16.464420318603516,"liquidity":4059.1536,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T17:49:45.528828Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:08:48.420966Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mt-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-samuel-forstag-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","event_title":"MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.17,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2044392","event_id":"403390","slug":"will-russell-cleveland-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","question":"Will Russell Cleveland be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?","group_item_title":"Russell Cleveland","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0635,0.9365],"probability":0.0635,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T17:10:33.707823Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1099.8163029999998,"volume_24hr":248.613816,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":152.848365,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.91232681274414,"normalized_volume":14.39184856414795,"liquidity":11611.0384,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:52:56.058298Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:50:54.257702Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mt-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-russell-cleveland-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","event_title":"MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.064,0.0635,0.063,0.0635,0.063,0.063,0.0635,0.0635]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2044394","event_id":"403390","slug":"will-matt-rains-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","question":"Will Matt Rains be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?","group_item_title":"Matt Rains","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0045,0.9955],"probability":0.0045,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T17:10:45.898442Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":711.179931,"volume_24hr":227.945,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":161.206,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.542191505432129,"normalized_volume":12.657798767089844,"liquidity":4226.38851,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T18:17:42.231289Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T18:16:02.376126Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mt-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-matt-rains-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","event_title":"MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0075,0.005,0.006,0.005,0.004,0.0055,0.005,0.005,0.0055,0.005,0.005,0.0055,0.006,0.0055,0.0045,0.0045,0.0045,0.0075,0.007,0.0075,0.006,0.0075,0.006,0.0075,0.0075,0.0045,0.0045,0.0035,0.006,0.004,0.0045,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2044405","event_id":"403390","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","question":"Will another candidate be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mt-01-house-election-winner-XYnxIhz-OCEz.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-22T17:11:42.052394Z","end_date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T05:45:48.725160Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:41.516827Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mt-01-democratic-primary-winner/will-another-candidate-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mt-01","event_title":"MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/403390","as_of":"2026-05-26T18:38:03.681263Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 78% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}