{"source":"polymarket","id":"42365","ticker":"will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025","slug":"will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025","title":"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025-1rL-noxxRItP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025-1rL-noxxRItP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-04T20:19:19.932350Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":204729.49030799977,"volume_24hr":1100.195554,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-113.33535400000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.17974853515625,"normalized_volume":43.87953567504883,"liquidity":29089.6892,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:59:34.673733Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:00:40.974539Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":[0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"589648","event_id":"42365","slug":"will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025","question":"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2025","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025-1rL-noxxRItP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025-1rL-noxxRItP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-09-06T21:03:30.167000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T08:54:45Z","volume":2764332.083129,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":64.54547119140625,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025","event_title":"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"663544","event_id":"42365","slug":"will-the-us-invade-venezuela-by-march-31-2026-255","question":"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025-1rL-noxxRItP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025-1rL-noxxRItP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-03T23:51:01.464000Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T07:53:19Z","volume":2823125.6745259995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":64.72876739501953,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-by-march-31-2026-255","event_title":"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"956450","event_id":"42365","slug":"will-the-us-invade-venezuela-by-january-31-2026","question":"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"January 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025-1rL-noxxRItP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025-1rL-noxxRItP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-17T20:22:20.082000Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-01T07:41:52Z","volume":8368550.515088,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":74.54600524902344,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-by-january-31-2026","event_title":"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/42365","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:56.070530Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?\" — top market at 10% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}