{"source":"polymarket","id":"425601","ticker":"elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai","slug":"elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai","title":"Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.\n\nIf a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to \"No\". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.\n\nIf Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai-4ItibokfDa6w.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai-4ItibokfDa6w.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T23:52:50.786875Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":144697.55453000002,"volume_24hr":957.976375,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.395282745361328,"normalized_volume":30.954349517822266,"liquidity":8026.33679,"open_interest":18415.601789,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"1628","slug":"courts","label":"Courts"},{"id":"103135","slug":"musk-v-altman","label":"Musk v Altman"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.012,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0075,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":962.6463749999999,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:43:49.811107Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:43:49.811107Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai","chart_24h":[33.33,33.33,33.33,33.33,33.33,429.62,429.62,429.62,429.62,429.62,429.62,429.62,429.62,429.62,429.62,430.81,430.81,430.81,430.81,430.81,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,577.506375,801.306375,915.306375,957.976375],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2100840","event_id":"425601","slug":"elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai","question":"Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.\n\nIf a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to \"No\". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.\n\nIf Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai-4ItibokfDa6w.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai-4ItibokfDa6w.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.012,0.988],"probability":0.012,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T23:50:14Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":144735.55453000002,"volume_24hr":995.976375,"prob_24h_change":-0.0075,"volume_24h_change":962.6463749999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.659591674804688,"normalized_volume":36.218570709228516,"liquidity":7500.46301,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:45:57.399835Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:43:50.457065Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai/elon-musk-wins-10b-settlement-against-altmanopenai","event_title":"Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?","chart_24h":[0.0195,0.019,0.017,0.018,0.018,0.017,0.0165,0.029,0.029,0.028,0.0275,0.0665,0.0655,0.054,0.055,0.0665,0.063,0.064,0.025,0.019,0.019,0.0225,0.0185,0.0185,0.0155,0.016,0.016,0.0165,0.016,0.0125,0.012,0.012,0.012]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/425601","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:48:04.413601Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?\" — top market at 1% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}