{"source":"polymarket","id":"428507","ticker":"will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31","slug":"will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31","title":"Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.\n\nFor Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. \n\nThe resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31-vj3FsSMs6aX7.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31-vj3FsSMs6aX7.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-28T19:40:06.158000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154872.69787699962,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.11446189880371,"liquidity":12413.4264,"open_interest":24307.905991,"categories":["Science and Technology","Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"105183","slug":"anthropic-ipo","label":"Anthropic IPO"},{"id":"105301","slug":"price-comparison","label":"Price Comparison"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-22.394743,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T18:48:01.503701Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T18:48:01.503701Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31","chart_24h":[22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,22.394743,17.634743,17.634743,17.634743,17.634743,17.634743,5.526314,5.526314,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2109881","event_id":"428507","slug":"will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31","question":"Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.\n\nFor Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. \n\nThe resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31-vj3FsSMs6aX7.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31-vj3FsSMs6aX7.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.2],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-28T19:40:06.158000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154872.69787699962,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-22.394743,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.05684280395508,"liquidity":12836.1444,"categories":["Science and Technology","Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T17:36:47.911951Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T09:17:51.342664Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31/will-anthropic-flip-btc-by-december-31","event_title":"Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.81,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/428507","as_of":"2026-07-10T18:55:42.054213Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?\" — top market at 80% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}