{"source":"polymarket","id":"428627","ticker":"netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31","slug":"netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31","title":"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31-CuB09-ujzGze.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31-CuB09-ujzGze.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T00:04:53.469000Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":146208.129645,"volume_24hr":5830.050706,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.16164779663086,"normalized_volume":32.19535827636719,"liquidity":5082.40504,"open_interest":23101.808522,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"388","slug":"netanyahu","label":"netanyahu"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"104774","slug":"likud","label":"Likud"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"September 30","top_outcome_probability":0.066,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.024,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5730.050706,"updated_at":"2026-08-26T00:58:15.077547Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T00:58:15.077547Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31","chart_24h":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,438.35,438.35,438.35,438.35,438.35,438.35,438.35,438.35,438.35,438.35,438.35,338.35,5830.050706,5830.050706,5830.050706,5830.050706],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2747302","event_id":"428627","slug":"netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-september-30","question":"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31-CuB09-ujzGze.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31-CuB09-ujzGze.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.066,0.934],"probability":0.066,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-30T21:01:34.624304Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37454.935532999996,"volume_24hr":5830.050706,"prob_24h_change":0.024,"volume_24h_change":5730.050706,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.80348205566406,"normalized_volume":32.53725051879883,"liquidity":5117.22962,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T00:58:15.979276Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T00:58:15.979276Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T21:08:23.745413Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-september-30","event_title":"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?","chart_24h":[0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.042,0.0415,0.042,0.0425,0.0425,0.0425,0.043,0.043,0.0425,0.0425,0.0425,0.043,0.044,0.0715,0.071,0.069,0.066]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2110241","event_id":"428627","slug":"netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31","question":"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31-CuB09-ujzGze.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31-CuB09-ujzGze.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-30T00:04:53.469000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T06:04:59Z","volume":108753.194112,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.45735168457031,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T06:09:16.364540Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-01T06:16:13.898237Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31/netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31","event_title":"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/428627","as_of":"2026-08-26T01:20:16.246597Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?\" — top market at 7% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}