{"source":"polymarket","id":"428819","ticker":"israel-election-likud-of-seats","slug":"israel-election-likud-of-seats","title":"Israel Election: Likud # of seats?","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:58:19.483610Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6325.407074999998,"volume_24hr":314.146193,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.799128532409668,"normalized_volume":16.12739372253418,"liquidity":46535.60833,"open_interest":2759.218084,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104774","slug":"likud","label":"Likud"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"388","slug":"netanyahu","label":"netanyahu"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"25-29","top_outcome_probability":0.365,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-22T15:56:33.633208Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T15:56:33.633208Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats","chart_24h":[104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,104.556193,404.556193,404.556193,314.146193,314.146193,314.146193,314.146193,314.146193,314.146193],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2110576","event_id":"428819","slug":"will-likud-win-fewer-than-20-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","question":"Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"<20","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.157,0.843],"probability":0.157,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:58:19.483610Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4256.503639999998,"volume_24hr":14.146193,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-90.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.5973761081695557,"normalized_volume":19.356233596801758,"liquidity":15017.17947,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T15:29:01.709906Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T13:33:16.400370Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats/will-likud-win-fewer-than-20-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","event_title":"Israel Election: Likud # of seats?","chart_24h":[0.177,0.1765,0.1765,0.178,0.178,0.1785,0.179,0.1795,0.1855,0.184,0.178,0.176,0.1865,0.1725,0.1745,0.1745,0.1745,0.1745,0.169,0.166,0.1665,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.157,0.157,0.157]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2110579","event_id":"428819","slug":"will-likud-win-30-34-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","question":"Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"30-34","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:58:27.642959Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":843.4080289999999,"volume_24hr":300.0,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":300.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.453774452209473,"normalized_volume":12.587004661560059,"liquidity":9808.1295,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T15:58:40.413148Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T15:56:34.104613Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats/will-likud-win-30-34-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","event_title":"Israel Election: Likud # of seats?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.125,0.125,0.135,0.135,0.125,0.135,0.135,0.15,0.14,0.155,0.145,0.155,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2110578","event_id":"428819","slug":"will-likud-win-25-29-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","question":"Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"25-29","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.365,0.635],"probability":0.365,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:58:25.614233Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":364.375766,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.652032852172852,"liquidity":3608.6009,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T23:36:58.826549Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T13:24:44.020574Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats/will-likud-win-25-29-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","event_title":"Israel Election: Likud # of seats?","chart_24h":[0.365,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2110577","event_id":"428819","slug":"will-likud-win-20-24-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","question":"Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"20-24","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-likud-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election-g2ML70fSwzBP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:58:23.292569Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":467.88422699999995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.48525333404541,"liquidity":8945.2474,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-22T06:24:42.335811Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T06:22:51.569092Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats/will-likud-win-20-24-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","event_title":"Israel Election: Likud # of seats?","chart_24h":[0.205,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2110580","event_id":"428819","slug":"will-likud-win-35-or-more-seats-in-the-2026-israeli-legislative-election","question":"Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","group_item_title":"35+","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. 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