{"source":"polymarket","id":"431563","ticker":"which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand","slug":"which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand","title":"Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?","description":"A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of New Zealand.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-green-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election-vPH24__6jJPO.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-green-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election-vPH24__6jJPO.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.45],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.5,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:44:25.443888Z","end_date":"2026-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41.100218999999996,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.5880517959594727,"liquidity":144.6724,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:32.054084Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:20:48.489584Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand/will-green-party-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand","event_title":"Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?","chart_24h":[0.53,0.535,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2116832","event_id":"431563","slug":"will-new-zealand-first-party-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand","question":"Will New Zealand First Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?","group_item_title":"New Zealand First Party","description":"A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of New Zealand.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-te-pti-mori-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election-SCk4OsrQVX84.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-te-pti-mori-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election-SCk4OsrQVX84.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:58:25.355996Z","end_date":"2026-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.024827003479004,"liquidity":24.9833,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:34:42.253998Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:34:42.253998Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand/will-te-pti-mori-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand","event_title":"Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.43,0.445,0.445,0.475,0.455,0.465,0.425,0.46,0.48,0.495,0.465,0.465,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.505,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.48,0.435,0.42,0.46,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2116831","event_id":"431563","slug":"will-act-new-zealand-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand","question":"Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?","group_item_title":"ACT New Zealand","description":"A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election. 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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of New Zealand.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-act-new-zealand-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election-V1lIvuLzkXab.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-act-new-zealand-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election-V1lIvuLzkXab.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.69,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-29T23:52:12.352900Z","end_date":"2026-11-07T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.64413,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.9199008941650391,"liquidity":30.5421,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["New Zealand"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:36:20.113415Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:34:42.253998Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand/will-act-new-zealand-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand","event_title":"Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.5,0.445,0.435,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.425,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.455,0.415,0.425,0.495,0.5,0.475,0.47,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.475,0.505,0.455,0.44,0.425]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/431563","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:45:24.110168Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?\" — top market at 40% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}