{"source":"polymarket","id":"435151","ticker":"jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by","slug":"jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-876","title":"JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jd-vance-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-30-e2Dv9slgQdmE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jd-vance-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-30-e2Dv9slgQdmE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-01T22:20:39.913423Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":417336.57756300014,"volume_24hr":49145.520112,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.10387420654297,"normalized_volume":35.38279342651367,"liquidity":16712.09819,"open_interest":42305.788305,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100285","slug":"vance","label":"Vance"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.9945,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.6295000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":18108.706535999994,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:52:41.878299Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:52:41.878299Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-876","chart_24h":[31125.92849600002,29797.850625000032,26882.69432000002,30498.723771000023,36683.31298000001,45133.214763,47510.506442,47443.87825699999,48142.225141999996,46769.88266099998,46553.48993699998,46563.50378999998,50809.25047999999,52034.07696799999,52520.16696799998,53658.842911999986,46951.60308899998,44533.323383999996,43780.925145999994,44355.579995999986,45009.45221699999,44315.782128,44509.351256999995,43004.19782599999,45187.541445999996,45666.85674799999,49500.89754300001,49604.869764999996,49562.205455999996,49253.83379199999,49535.003791999996,49633.595343999994,49413.934109,49106.630112],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2126547","event_id":"435151","slug":"will-jd-vance-have-a-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-june-30-2026","question":"Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jd-vance-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-30-e2Dv9slgQdmE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jd-vance-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-30-e2Dv9slgQdmE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9945,0.0055],"probability":0.9945,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-01T22:20:39.913423Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":260373.89685100009,"volume_24hr":49145.520112,"prob_24h_change":0.6295000000000001,"volume_24h_change":18108.706535999994,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.28413009643555,"normalized_volume":43.102535247802734,"liquidity":16004.70413,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:54:57.283675Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:52:42.300420Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-876/will-jd-vance-have-a-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-june-30-2026","event_title":"JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?","chart_24h":[0.375,0.445,0.515,0.78,0.915,0.9,0.895,0.855,0.84,0.865,0.865,0.875,0.945,0.96,0.96,0.9655,0.9615,0.96,0.964,0.963,0.9645,0.9625,0.9635,0.9705,0.986,0.9805,0.994,0.9975,0.9935,0.9935,0.9935,0.9935,0.986,0.9855]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2126545","event_id":"435151","slug":"will-jd-vance-have-a-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-may-15-2026","question":"Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"May 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jd-vance-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-30-e2Dv9slgQdmE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jd-vance-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-30-e2Dv9slgQdmE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-01T22:19:32.494718Z","end_date":"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-16T11:13:46Z","volume":55838.526814999954,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.1159782409668,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-05-17T11:21:18.827471Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-17T09:57:52.734220Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-876/will-jd-vance-have-a-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-may-15-2026","event_title":"JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2126546","event_id":"435151","slug":"will-jd-vance-have-a-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-may-31-2026","question":"Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTo qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jd-vance-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-30-e2Dv9slgQdmE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jd-vance-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-30-e2Dv9slgQdmE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-01T22:15:51.677610Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T07:02:17Z","volume":101124.1538970001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.812347412109375,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T07:02:29.099001Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T04:47:50.075698Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-876/will-jd-vance-have-a-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-may-31-2026","event_title":"JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/435151","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:01:38.446579Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?\" — top market at 99% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}