{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/435298","as_of":"2026-10-24T12:06:44.842457Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?\" — 4 markets; highest \"December 31\" at 28% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/435298","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by"},"source":"polymarket","id":"435298","ticker":"sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by","slug":"sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by","title":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:23:14.762336Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34863.210460999915,"volume_24hr":60.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.011935234069824,"normalized_volume":24.844690322875977,"liquidity":22087.92966,"open_interest":1974.312583,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"956","slug":"mexico","label":"Mexico"},{"id":"104818","slug":"extradite","label":"Extradite"},{"id":"101871","slug":"cartel","label":"cartel"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.275,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.007499999999999951,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-542.69,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T11:59:19.408570Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T11:59:19.408570Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by","chart_24h":[602.69,200.61,164.0,104.0,104.0,104.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0,60.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3206980","event_id":"435298","slug":"sinaloa-govpt-ruben-rocha-arrested-by-december-31-20260728192035733","question":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:27.293728Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":7490.304524000001,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.007499999999999951,"volume_24h_change":-542.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.248239517211914,"normalized_volume":23.35198402404785,"liquidity":22185.33424,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T11:35:21.925585Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T11:35:21.925585Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:46:11.855140Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by/sinaloa-govpt-ruben-rocha-arrested-by-december-31-20260728192035733","event_title":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?","chart_24h":[0.2825,0.2835,0.288,0.2845,0.2845,0.2835,0.2835,0.284,0.284,0.2845,0.285,0.2845,0.282,0.284,0.285,0.2835,0.286,0.284,0.2855,0.283,0.2855,0.285,0.283,0.282,0.2815,0.2745,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2127054","event_id":"435298","slug":"sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by-may-31","question":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-30T19:16:59.659572Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T07:02:59Z","result":"no","volume":25871.811754999915,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.29121208190918,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T07:17:57.086822Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T06:45:06.368553Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by-may-31","event_title":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2370501","event_id":"435298","slug":"sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by-june-30","question":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-27T15:57:24.765822Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-03T00:45:50Z","result":"no","volume":1088.873231,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.350818634033203,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-07-04T00:56:35.114915Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-04T00:39:18.660412Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T16:03:18.492830Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by-june-30","event_title":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2698283","event_id":"435298","slug":"sinaloa-govpt-ruben-rocha-arrested-by-july-31-20260626164648139","question":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by July 31?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-moya-arrested-by-may-31-Ey6t86McY4OG.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-26T20:18:06.692612Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T06:23:12Z","result":"no","volume":412.220951,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.646714210510254,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T08:24:13.988566Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T04:27:03.388174Z","added_at":"2026-06-26T20:19:53.241170Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-arrested-by/sinaloa-govpt-ruben-rocha-arrested-by-july-31-20260626164648139","event_title":"Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?","chart_24h":null}]}