{"source":"polymarket","id":"452421","ticker":"which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government","slug":"which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government","title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:55:19.135945Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12343.640239,"volume_24hr":1328.436474,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.292434692382812,"normalized_volume":19.104856491088867,"liquidity":19196.25222,"open_interest":6775.400044,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101438","slug":"romania","label":"Romania"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"103149","slug":"rewards-20-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"PNL + USR + UDMR","top_outcome_probability":0.42,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.215,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":13.65,"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.607422Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.607422Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:38.507224Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government","chart_24h":[103.333333,103.333333,103.333333,103.333333,103.333333,103.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,563.333333,676.983333,976.983333,976.983333,976.983333,1370.769807,1287.436474,1287.436474,1267.436474,1267.436474,1267.436474,1267.436474,1328.436474,1328.436474],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167707","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-usr-udmr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?","group_item_title":"PNL + USR + UDMR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.72,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:56.356440Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":317.64,"volume_24hr":13.65,"prob_24h_change":0.215,"volume_24h_change":13.65,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.599109172821045,"normalized_volume":8.522372245788574,"liquidity":80.0119,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-usr-udmr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.205,0.2,0.205,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.205,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.205,0.2,0.215,0.205,0.2,0.205,0.205,0.39,0.435,0.38,0.425,0.395,0.395,0.365,0.39,0.345,0.36,0.34,0.395,0.385,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167702","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-udmr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?","group_item_title":"PSD + PNL + UDMR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4145,0.5855],"probability":0.4145,"spread":0.789,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:35.783450Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":88.61992500000001,"volume_24hr":11.986474,"prob_24h_change":0.3675,"volume_24h_change":11.986474,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.37094783782959,"normalized_volume":5.184110164642334,"liquidity":82.46249,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-udmr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.047,0.047,0.047,0.047,0.0475,0.047,0.047,0.0475,0.047,0.0475,0.047,0.0475,0.0475,0.048,0.047,0.047,0.396,0.4115,0.4005,0.3755,0.3545,0.3635,0.4065,0.3985,0.3895,0.387]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167698","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-usr-udmr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?","group_item_title":"USR + UDMR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.386,0.614],"probability":0.386,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:14.584400Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":407.82,"volume_24hr":60.8,"prob_24h_change":0.336,"volume_24h_change":60.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.133861064910889,"normalized_volume":9.275243759155273,"liquidity":71.50511,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-usr-udmr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.045,0.04,0.035,0.035,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.03,0.025,0.02,0.02,0.015,0.0105,0.0105,0.386,0.3845,0.3635,0.3515,0.3395,0.345,0.3485,0.3455,0.386,0.3835]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167687","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL?","group_item_title":"PNL","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:22.609626Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":251.83745799999997,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.682155132293701,"normalized_volume":7.852081775665283,"liquidity":1994.7328,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.415,0.415,0.415,0.42,0.415,0.395,0.4,0.43,0.405,0.41,0.42,0.405,0.41,0.41,0.425,0.455,0.41,0.455,0.42,0.405,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.245,0.24,0.235,0.23,0.24,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167689","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-udmr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?","group_item_title":"UDMR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.109,0.891],"probability":0.109,"spread":0.214,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:34.618901Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1517.18,"volume_24hr":842.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.022000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":382.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.369892120361328,"normalized_volume":13.764175415039062,"liquidity":2021.69393,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-udmr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.131,0.126,0.0505,0.046,0.046,0.046,0.046,0.0505,0.046,0.111,0.11,0.155,0.1555,0.155,0.155,0.11,0.1095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167688","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-usr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR?","group_item_title":"USR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:27.451689Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1682.0034999999998,"volume_24hr":300.0,"prob_24h_change":0.004499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":300.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.747610092163086,"normalized_volume":14.154228210449219,"liquidity":1482.33059,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-usr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0505,0.066,0.055,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.072,0.072,0.08,0.09,0.085,0.085,0.0895,0.09,0.085,0.085,0.08,0.0895,0.0975,0.0845,0.074,0.0745,0.07,0.0695,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.0645,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167711","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-usr-udmr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR?","group_item_title":"PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:15.649932Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.024827003479004,"liquidity":84.2205,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-usr-udmr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.445,0.43,0.445,0.445,0.44,0.41,0.395,0.375,0.385,0.375,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.385,0.425,0.41,0.405,0.39,0.395,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.385,0.38,0.42,0.405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167701","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-usr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?","group_item_title":"PSD + PNL + USR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4035,0.5965],"probability":0.4035,"spread":0.785,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:28.739509Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.033999999999999975,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.024827003479004,"liquidity":73.64157,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-usr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.4375,0.446,0.4475,0.4365,0.465,0.4365,0.439,0.368,0.373,0.393,0.364,0.363,0.341,0.363,0.364,0.372,0.4025,0.3805,0.3805,0.3765,0.3725,0.372,0.382,0.374,0.401,0.343,0.372,0.321,0.359,0.3285,0.3265,0.3665,0.378]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167694","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?","group_item_title":"PSD + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.398,0.602],"probability":0.398,"spread":0.774,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:55.033333Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":151.6,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04249999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.484293460845947,"liquidity":109.10555,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.4405,0.4385,0.4375,0.4345,0.4585,0.4555,0.44,0.4135,0.395,0.3795,0.395,0.38,0.3725,0.372,0.385,0.3825,0.4375,0.422,0.4065,0.3995,0.4195,0.4065,0.413,0.3905,0.401,0.3835,0.349,0.3455,0.3415,0.346,0.3635,0.3545,0.354]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167695","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-usr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?","group_item_title":"PNL + USR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.394,0.606],"probability":0.394,"spread":0.768,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:02.438929Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":144.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.061,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.368474960327148,"liquidity":123.09169,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-usr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.455,0.4515,0.4515,0.4565,0.456,0.454,0.4315,0.3995,0.3865,0.3745,0.3785,0.4075,0.396,0.372,0.378,0.3785,0.41,0.377,0.4075,0.3965,0.4105,0.434,0.4025,0.3855,0.4215,0.3705,0.3375,0.3415,0.329,0.3355,0.3635,0.3945,0.392]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167686","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?","group_item_title":"PSD","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.385,0.615],"probability":0.385,"spread":0.67,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:20.330327Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.64,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.034999999999999976,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.179838180541992,"liquidity":67.9729,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.445,0.445,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.435,0.41,0.395,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.385,0.405,0.415,0.385,0.395,0.425,0.425,0.405,0.42,0.415,0.405,0.395,0.345,0.35,0.325,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.395,0.395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167692","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-usr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?","group_item_title":"PSD + USR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3805,0.6195],"probability":0.3805,"spread":0.759,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:44.693772Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":461.478973,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.65959644317627,"liquidity":82.18809,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-usr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.4205,0.4185,0.4155,0.41,0.453,0.4575,0.434,0.406,0.3745,0.375,0.364,0.359,0.359,0.3535,0.379,0.38,0.3695,0.3655,0.4015,0.3945,0.3855,0.3785,0.3775,0.3735,0.369,0.3555,0.346,0.3395,0.321,0.3195,0.32,0.3885,0.3865]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167696","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-udmr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR?","group_item_title":"PNL + UDMR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.378,0.622],"probability":0.378,"spread":0.736,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:04.714654Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":162.95,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.670660972595215,"liquidity":59.36203,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-udmr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.363,0.363,0.3605,0.3625,0.3575,0.356,0.347,0.3625,0.365,0.364,0.363,0.364,0.363,0.3785,0.3745,0.4165,0.3925,0.4,0.3815,0.3735,0.336,0.3335,0.311,0.319,0.3195,0.315,0.3775,0.392]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167693","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-udmr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?","group_item_title":"PSD + UDMR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:49.892373Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.64,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.356863975524902,"liquidity":81.3978,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-udmr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.43,0.425,0.41,0.44,0.455,0.39,0.355,0.375,0.37,0.37,0.355,0.355,0.345,0.385,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.375,0.365,0.395,0.38,0.365,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.305,0.285,0.33,0.335,0.32,0.32]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167691","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL?","group_item_title":"PSD + PNL","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.72,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:43.659881Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":117.672342,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.851921081542969,"liquidity":49.4147,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.42,0.415,0.415,0.465,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.335,0.365,0.335,0.325,0.305,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.285,0.275,0.38,0.375,0.36,0.375,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.315,0.31,0.305,0.295,0.29,0.37,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167712","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-usr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PSD + PNL + USR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.368,0.632],"probability":0.368,"spread":0.734,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:21.435365Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":381.32000000000005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009500000000000008,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.069653511047363,"liquidity":190.29759,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-usr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.3775,0.384,0.3795,0.3735,0.3745,0.369,0.3725,0.3585,0.3735,0.3715,0.3415,0.3455,0.338,0.336,0.336,0.335,0.3295,0.3255,0.3355,0.3305,0.3735,0.3845,0.3735,0.3645,0.3205,0.3285,0.3175,0.3045,0.2995,0.3005,0.3645,0.3675]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167717","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-another-result-occur-for-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania","question":"Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.345,0.655],"probability":0.345,"spread":0.63,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:48.811682Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":462.85,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.668917655944824,"liquidity":63.2684,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-another-result-occur-for-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.355,0.35,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.355,0.345,0.355,0.35,0.36,0.355,0.36,0.355,0.35,0.355,0.355,0.35,0.345,0.355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167706","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-udmr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PSD + UDMR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.438,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:51.526008Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":373.6,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.007532119750977,"liquidity":58.42505,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-udmr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.41,0.414,0.41,0.399,0.3845,0.383,0.359,0.3375,0.3445,0.3665,0.34,0.3495,0.3645,0.33,0.3225,0.3165,0.31,0.3,0.295,0.29,0.284,0.274,0.269,0.266,0.2595,0.248,0.239,0.23,0.225,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167713","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-udmr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0745,0.9255],"probability":0.0745,"spread":0.147,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:24.460496Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":350.72,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2955,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.816954612731934,"liquidity":91.36932,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-udmr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.3745,0.37,0.36,0.354,0.329,0.297,0.288,0.283,0.2685,0.26,0.2225,0.215,0.21,0.205,0.2,0.195,0.195,0.19,0.185,0.178,0.175,0.175,0.17,0.165,0.157,0.16,0.076,0.0725]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167704","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-usr-udmr","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR?","group_item_title":"PSD + USR + UDMR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0475,0.9525],"probability":0.0475,"spread":0.085,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:44.601025Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":439.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.018000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.509539604187012,"liquidity":708.674,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:02:58.013534Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-usr-udmr","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0655,0.0625,0.0495,0.0475,0.049,0.055,0.0485,0.0425,0.0425,0.0475,0.0425,0.0475,0.0475,0.05,0.057,0.0565,0.048,0.0425,0.052,0.0475,0.0585,0.0475,0.052,0.046,0.047,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.056,0.0475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167715","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-usr-udmr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0425,0.9575],"probability":0.0425,"spread":0.083,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:47.795747Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":323.84000000000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.1275,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.579452514648438,"liquidity":93.72613,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-usr-udmr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.1745,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.1695,0.165,0.165,0.1695,0.165,0.16,0.155,0.149,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.06,0.055,0.055,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167697","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?","group_item_title":"PNL + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:09.487838Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":419.12210899999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.359561920166016,"liquidity":654.51694,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T16:17:34.912420Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.051,0.0555,0.051,0.046,0.051,0.051,0.0505,0.051,0.051,0.0505,0.051,0.06,0.0555,0.055,0.046,0.046,0.054,0.0505,0.05,0.041,0.0455,0.0455,0.0455,0.045,0.0455,0.04,0.042,0.044,0.0405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167690","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?","group_item_title":"AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0165,0.9835],"probability":0.0165,"spread":0.031,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:48:39.735074Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":503.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.936273574829102,"liquidity":3287.43122,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T12:26:29.143446Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T12:23:01.065235Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0165,0.0165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167703","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR?","group_item_title":"PSD + PNL + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0145,0.9855],"probability":0.0145,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:39.777580Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":87.40259999999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.081,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.152616500854492,"liquidity":115.7736,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T15:03:35.938346Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T09:06:14.981117Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0955,0.106,0.0955,0.0895,0.085,0.086,0.08,0.075,0.068,0.068,0.061,0.055,0.0545,0.05,0.045,0.0435,0.0395,0.0345,0.0345,0.0295,0.0245,0.0195,0.0195,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167699","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-usr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + AUR?","group_item_title":"USR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:21.408101Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":648.6310000000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.758980751037598,"liquidity":2253.9653,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T06:26:22.870728Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T06:24:27.999648Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-usr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0095,0.009,0.019,0.012,0.0055,0.02,0.017,0.02,0.015,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167708","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-usr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PNL + USR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:01.382072Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":303.34000000000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.387134552001953,"liquidity":455.13041,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T11:12:30.377350Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T11:10:27.344020Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-usr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0095,0.042,0.033,0.035,0.0245,0.035,0.035,0.0365,0.0265,0.03,0.0155,0.01,0.025,0.02,0.0145,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167709","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-udmr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PNL + UDMR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:05.378834Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":475.02000000000004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0045000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.750663757324219,"liquidity":618.11506,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T16:20:03.190045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T07:51:12.268208Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-pnl-udmr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0055,0.012,0.005,0.012,0.005,0.0105,0.005,0.011,0.0055,0.005,0.01,0.013,0.01,0.013,0.0105,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167714","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-usr-udmr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:31.368972Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":365.84000000000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.944005966186523,"liquidity":123.51241,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T09:08:17.913849Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T09:06:14.981117Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-usr-udmr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.0095,0.0485,0.045,0.04,0.035,0.03,0.025,0.02,0.015,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167716","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-usr-udmr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:43.476038Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":371.36,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.989307403564453,"liquidity":161.70761,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T08:53:51.543843Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T02:00:27.602585Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-pnl-usr-udmr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0095,0.02,0.015,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167705","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-usr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + AUR?","group_item_title":"PSD + USR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0085,0.9915],"probability":0.0085,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:46.611565Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":302.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.374195098876953,"liquidity":385.98172,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T05:45:13.582559Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-13T21:18:03.946664Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-psd-usr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.0085,0.0085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167700","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-udmr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?","group_item_title":"UDMR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.007,0.993],"probability":0.007,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:49:23.428731Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":496.88533299999995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-83.333333,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.893230438232422,"liquidity":3867.40725,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-14T10:33:45.913885Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T10:30:49.659957Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-udmr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":[0.007,0.007]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2167710","event_id":"452421","slug":"will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-usr-udmr-aur","question":"Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?","group_item_title":"USR + UDMR + AUR","description":"This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.\n\nThe following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.\n\nResolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.\n\nFor example:\n\n- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.\n\nIn the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.\n\nIf the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.\n\nIf the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0045,0.9955],"probability":0.0045,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:50:10.337336Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":558.236999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.266922950744629,"liquidity":2779.18671,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Romania"],"updated_at":"2026-06-13T16:30:39.268800Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T18:54:22.084172Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T21:08:39.091976Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-coalition-will-form-the-next-romanian-government/will-the-next-governing-coalition-of-romania-include-usr-udmr-aur","event_title":"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/452421","as_of":"2026-06-14T16:22:20.958759Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?\" — top market at 11% probability across 32 outcomes","source_url":null}}