{"source":"polymarket","id":"459188","ticker":"hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1","slug":"hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1","title":"Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nConfirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak.\n\nInvestigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-3C2cWRpFtCdu.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-3C2cWRpFtCdu.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-07T17:56:39.330839Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":434349.57016200066,"volume_24hr":12995.586786,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.60462760925293,"normalized_volume":38.50086212158203,"liquidity":81823.65036,"open_interest":170810.052069,"categories":["Culture","Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"104841","slug":"hantavirus","label":"Hantavirus"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.014,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10106.892867999999,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:51.010078Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:51.010078Z","added_at":"2026-05-07T18:09:43.076276Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1","chart_24h":[3015.740583,3015.740583,3015.740583,2515.640583,3827.1005830000004,3827.1005830000004,5190.828991,7093.020732,7093.020732,7093.020732,7127.500732,6727.500731999999,6727.500731999999,6727.500731999999,6727.500731999999,6727.500731999999,6727.500731999999,6716.500731999999,6716.500731999999,6716.500731999999,6717.513884999999,6717.513884999999,6712.463301999999,14092.858378,14092.858378,14092.858378,14092.858378,14092.858378,14086.858378,14495.826786000001,15049.266786,13030.026785999999,13040.026785999999,13041.036785999999,12995.586786],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2183313","event_id":"459188","slug":"hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1","question":"Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nConfirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak.\n\nInvestigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-3C2cWRpFtCdu.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-3C2cWRpFtCdu.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.014,0.986],"probability":0.014,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-07T17:53:52.439114Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":434476.6168270007,"volume_24hr":13122.633450999998,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":10106.892867999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.15177917480469,"normalized_volume":49.44526290893555,"liquidity":81394.15502,"categories":["Culture","Climate and Weather"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:54:51.146220Z","added_at":"2026-05-07T18:09:43.087276Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1/hantavirus-lab-leak-confirmed-by-june-30-1","event_title":"Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.0135,0.014,0.014,0.0135,0.0135,0.014]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/459188","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:57.441689Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?\" — top market at 1% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}