{"source":"polymarket","id":"474389","ticker":"which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31","slug":"which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31","title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:14:40.432781Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":126035.21171500001,"volume_24hr":19042.151833999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.20524215698242,"normalized_volume":31.511537551879883,"liquidity":46267.35469,"open_interest":35193.203374000004,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"102486","slug":"ukraine-map","label":"Ukraine Map"},{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Dopropillia","top_outcome_probability":0.56,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-571.610308,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.672754Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.672754Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.509057Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31","chart_24h":[10472.845972,10515.185972,12327.265972,12228.465972,12288.465972,12278.815972,12278.815972,10558.605972,10080.675972,10077.104545,10002.754545,10002.754545,10002.754545,10002.754545,10002.754545,10002.754545,10002.754545,7670.912010999999,7670.912010999999,7670.912010999999,7670.912010999999,7670.912010999999,7670.912010999999,5082.746439,3629.414558,2030.414558,2030.414558,2030.414558,2030.414558,2033.414558,2298.414558,2298.414558,2305.02,2299.97,19042.151833999997],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2232193","event_id":"474389","slug":"will-russia-enter-dopropillia-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Dopropillia","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Dopropillia (48.46978658204883° N, 37.08593384222816° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/vipjg3UsWpqRnhM6A) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market refers to the city of Dobropillia (48.47, 37.08) which borders Sviatohorivka and Hannivka. Other Ukrainian towns/cities named Dobropillia will not be considered for resolution. \n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.44],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:09:28.989965Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10038.970517000002,"volume_24hr":200.20000000000002,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":-571.610308,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.999878883361816,"normalized_volume":24.910110473632812,"liquidity":9145.9272,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:41:59.705657Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:40:47.061350Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.697749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/will-russia-enter-dopropillia-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.535,0.55,0.545,0.545,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.555,0.545,0.54,0.545,0.545,0.555,0.545,0.55,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.565,0.565,0.56,0.57,0.565,0.56]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2232192","event_id":"474389","slug":"will-russia-enter-druzkhivka-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Druzkhivka","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Druzkhivka (48.61631417285371° N, 37.528161462381036° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/cH9ekgbf9qbxGPUk6) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:06:21.387983Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24045.109881,"volume_24hr":1665.77,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-3147.7433749999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.516952514648438,"normalized_volume":29.856229782104492,"liquidity":8396.5436,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:13:29.611548Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:12:11.207502Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.697749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/will-russia-enter-druzkhivka-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.305,0.3,0.3,0.295,0.295,0.305,0.3]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2232190","event_id":"474389","slug":"will-russia-enter-sloviansk-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Sloviansk","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sloviansk (48.853751256046095° N, 37.60508085394494° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/Kx9MMw32sFDPUt8f9) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:07:33.998530Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4642.905819,"volume_24hr":265.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":-1525.571427,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.188332557678223,"normalized_volume":20.9157657623291,"liquidity":9878.6987,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T13:49:14.930449Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T13:47:56.584942Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.697749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/will-russia-enter-sloviansk-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.265,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.255,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2232194","event_id":"474389","slug":"will-russia-enter-kramatorsk-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Kramatorsk","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kramatorsk (48.73714435420954° N, 37.589106045927714° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/TVY1bAwoc98W2L949) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:07:53.053491Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4037.2623690000005,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-2219.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.247978925704956,"normalized_volume":20.22916030883789,"liquidity":5221.4617,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:13:42.553591Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:12:11.207502Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.697749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/will-russia-enter-kramatorsk-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.24,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2232197","event_id":"474389","slug":"will-russia-enter-zaporizhia-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Zaporizhia","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the city of Zaporizhia (47.8423587068344° N, 35.15074278438932° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/Gezpp2b4SDnefJ5s9) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.152,0.848],"probability":0.152,"spread":0.062,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:07:42.992441Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":56764.850859000006,"volume_24hr":574.09,"prob_24h_change":0.0785,"volume_24h_change":274.09000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.78695011138916,"normalized_volume":35.15716552734375,"liquidity":3745.58417,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.824640Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.697749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/will-russia-enter-zaporizhia-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.0735,0.0745,0.0745,0.0745,0.0745,0.0745,0.152]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2232191","event_id":"474389","slug":"will-russia-enter-sumy-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Sumy","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sumy (50.92932978689303° N, 34.81107584134934° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/qjS5sPf9YgTRYDii6) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:06:35.403859Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17201.508649999992,"volume_24hr":10459.364501999995,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":9011.483639999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.49017333984375,"normalized_volume":27.906654357910156,"liquidity":5055.1164,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.824640Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.697749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/will-russia-enter-sumy-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.205,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2232195","event_id":"474389","slug":"will-russia-enter-kharkiv-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Kharkiv","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kharkiv (50.00429983749034° N, 36.31810952195039° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/m484AfKV3TTS8nB68) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.038,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:07:37.097154Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8136.622039,"volume_24hr":6447.179768,"prob_24h_change":0.057999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":6062.249768,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.08048439025879,"normalized_volume":23.787214279174805,"liquidity":2469.14384,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.824640Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.697749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/will-russia-enter-kharkiv-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.032,0.032,0.0315,0.0325,0.0265,0.0275,0.0275,0.0275,0.0275,0.027,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0245,0.0255,0.0225,0.1855,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2232196","event_id":"474389","slug":"will-russia-enter-kherson-by-december-31-2026","question":"Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"Kherson","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the city of Kherson (46.635370032120804° N, 32.61934931669168° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/zwgqUcSNzfHfgTBy9) by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-june-30-LnopY-FJVZSb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-11T20:07:16.293670Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1747.434017,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.356090545654297,"liquidity":3119.3928,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:59:34.673733Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T13:06:18.099108Z","added_at":"2026-05-11T20:14:32.697749Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31/will-russia-enter-kherson-by-december-31-2026","event_title":"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?","chart_24h":[0.085,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.085,0.085]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/474389","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:57.319091Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?\" — top market at 14% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}