{"source":"polymarket","id":"478522","ticker":"who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner","slug":"who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner","title":"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?","description":"This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T00:09:09.323040Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11002.746847,"volume_24hr":1241.779566,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.881723403930664,"normalized_volume":19.785123825073242,"liquidity":13696.32849,"open_interest":1974.434135,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101489","slug":"fda","label":"FDA"},{"id":"104905","slug":"food-and-drug","label":"Food and drug"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104904","slug":"kamary","label":"Kamary"},{"id":"104906","slug":"diamantas","label":"Diamantas"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101193","slug":"trump-cabinet","label":"Trump Cabinet"},{"id":"103149","slug":"rewards-20-4pt5-50","label":"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Kyle Diamantas","top_outcome_probability":0.345,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-0.7000000000000002,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.672754Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.672754Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.058699Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner","chart_24h":[1708.152072,1708.152072,1708.152072,1708.152072,1708.152072,1705.302072,1755.302072,1755.302072,1955.302072,1955.302072,1955.302072,1955.302072,1955.302072,2039.621638,2039.621638,2039.621638,2039.621638,2039.621638,2121.381638,2121.381638,2116.221638,2937.221638,2937.221638,2939.371638,2607.586041,2607.586041,1784.796041,1784.796041,1631.926041,1631.926041,1626.926041,1626.926041,1246.779566,1246.779566,1241.779566],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244062","event_id":"478522","slug":"will-trump-announce-kyle-diamantas-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","question":"Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?","group_item_title":"Kyle Diamantas","description":"This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.345,0.655],"probability":0.345,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T00:02:09.479412Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1635.6892800000003,"volume_24hr":2.15,"prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-0.7000000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.5147109031677246,"normalized_volume":16.06801414489746,"liquidity":960.171,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:28.372819Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.824640Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.203501Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner/will-trump-announce-kyle-diamantas-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","event_title":"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?","chart_24h":[0.315,0.365,0.365,0.355,0.305,0.355,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.46,0.4,0.295,0.29,0.23,0.335,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.315,0.33,0.355,0.29,0.295,0.355,0.295,0.315,0.345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244066","event_id":"478522","slug":"will-trump-announce-sara-brenner-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","question":"Will Trump announce Sara Brenner as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?","group_item_title":"Sara Brenner","description":"This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2685,0.7315],"probability":0.2685,"spread":0.409,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T00:02:27.647053Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1912.205937,"volume_24hr":746.0,"prob_24h_change":0.2325,"volume_24h_change":735.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.11320686340332,"normalized_volume":16.753042221069336,"liquidity":505.2601,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:28.372819Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.824640Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.203501Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner/will-trump-announce-sara-brenner-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","event_title":"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?","chart_24h":[0.036,0.2585,0.242,0.26,0.256,0.0575,0.2645,0.2565,0.2435,0.0595,0.0585,0.06,0.062,0.063,0.2375,0.263,0.2635,0.252,0.2605,0.264,0.266,0.2675,0.261,0.2675,0.2685]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244065","event_id":"478522","slug":"will-trump-announce-grace-graham-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","question":"Will Trump announce Grace Graham as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?","group_item_title":"Grace Graham","description":"This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0685,0.9315],"probability":0.0685,"spread":0.093,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T00:02:23.616800Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3296.876214,"volume_24hr":325.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06,"volume_24h_change":-752.4455969999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.092524528503418,"normalized_volume":19.25436019897461,"liquidity":2260.71268,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:28.372819Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.824640Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.203501Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner/will-trump-announce-grace-graham-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","event_title":"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?","chart_24h":[0.1285,0.124,0.1145,0.1405,0.155,0.1175,0.114,0.1115,0.1105,0.1165,0.1205,0.138,0.1135,0.117,0.115,0.112,0.11,0.1045,0.109,0.113,0.112,0.11,0.136,0.0695,0.098,0.0725,0.0665,0.069,0.104,0.0685]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244063","event_id":"478522","slug":"will-trump-announce-stephen-hahn-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","question":"Will Trump announce Stephen Hahn as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?","group_item_title":"Stephen Hahn","description":"This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T00:02:13.618355Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1354.8698779999997,"volume_24hr":168.629566,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":161.079566,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.303357124328613,"normalized_volume":15.261018753051758,"liquidity":8348.2331,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:16:54.091742Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:01:59.891400Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.203501Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner/will-trump-announce-stephen-hahn-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","event_title":"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.075,0.065,0.07,0.06,0.065,0.055,0.055,0.06,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244064","event_id":"478522","slug":"will-trump-announce-brett-giroir-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","question":"Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?","group_item_title":"Brett Giroir","description":"This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.322,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T00:02:20.499012Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2265.12767,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.156,"volume_24h_change":-605.146475,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.512100219726562,"liquidity":915.68447,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:41:59.705657Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:40:47.061350Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.203501Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner/will-trump-announce-brett-giroir-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","event_title":"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?","chart_24h":[0.361,0.2565,0.259,0.283,0.3745,0.323,0.3595,0.3185,0.357,0.351,0.354,0.3555,0.3565,0.344,0.358,0.3585,0.3915,0.3925,0.343,0.394,0.3655,0.363,0.401,0.372,0.271,0.3265,0.326,0.331,0.3045,0.3655,0.335,0.1855,0.1545,0.125,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244067","event_id":"478522","slug":"will-trump-make-no-announcement-for-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","question":"Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31?","group_item_title":"No announcement by December 31","description":"This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1785,0.8215],"probability":0.1785,"spread":0.227,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T00:02:30.600063Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":537.977868,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.012999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":-5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.606587409973145,"liquidity":797.3411,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:28.372819Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:02.824640Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.203501Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner/will-trump-make-no-announcement-for-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","event_title":"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?","chart_24h":[0.1655,0.144,0.11,0.122,0.162,0.122,0.148,0.1245,0.1535,0.101,0.12,0.1435,0.2425,0.195,0.2165,0.2475,0.1875,0.133,0.145,0.122,0.148,0.1535,0.2745,0.2045,0.1535,0.114,0.276,0.2855,0.24,0.287,0.266,0.249,0.231,0.198,0.1785]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244068","event_id":"478522","slug":"will-trump-announce-someone-else-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","question":"Will Trump announce someone else as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. \n\nAnnouncements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commisioner-xJoUDj49njsF.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T00:02:39.629309Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T13:21:25.344279Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.203501Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T00:15:29.203501Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fda-commissioner/will-trump-announce-someone-else-as-the-next-fda-commissioner-by-december-31","event_title":"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/478522","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:04:52.978204Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?\" — top market at 27% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}