{"source":"polymarket","id":"478814","ticker":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","slug":"arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:29:51.890289Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34787.36500800001,"volume_24hr":865.58185,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.167659759521484,"normalized_volume":22.21092414855957,"liquidity":31159.96221,"open_interest":9748.201641,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"139","slug":"fdv","label":"FDV"},{"id":"102368","slug":"pre-market","label":"Pre-Market"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"102878","slug":"arc","label":"Arc"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$500M","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.14500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":464.25,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:14.892165Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:14.892165Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.443267Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","chart_24h":[379.48,379.48,379.48,389.58,389.58,389.58,389.58,389.58,389.58,389.58,389.58,389.58,985.85,995.85,995.85,995.85,995.85,995.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1015.85,1243.21,1243.21,865.58185,865.58185],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244947","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$500M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:29:51.890289Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13837.222677000002,"volume_24hr":843.73,"prob_24h_change":-0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":464.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.023452758789062,"normalized_volume":25.248292922973633,"liquidity":5433.5289,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:15.206120Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:15.206120Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.795,0.795,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.765,0.635,0.62,0.61,0.565,0.56,0.5,0.485,0.495,0.53,0.475,0.44,0.495,0.46,0.485,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.475,0.485,0.465,0.495,0.51,0.54,0.615,0.62,0.65]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244948","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-800m-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$800M","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:05.533880Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8620.819477000003,"volume_24hr":1.85185,"prob_24h_change":-0.04500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":1.85185,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.46003642678260803,"normalized_volume":22.804805755615234,"liquidity":4281.4671,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:36:50.369346Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T14:36:50.369346Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-800m-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.565,0.555,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.465,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.425,0.45,0.45,0.48]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244960","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-20b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$20B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:29:52.950636Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1993.2612429999997,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.882706880569458,"normalized_volume":16.031539916992188,"liquidity":5835.66648,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:15.206120Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:15.206120Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-20b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.009,0.009,0.009,0.01,0.01,0.009,0.0095,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.01,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.01,0.009]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244949","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$1B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.455,0.545],"probability":0.455,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:10.636338Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2205.9484890000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.462024688720703,"liquidity":956.8982,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T13:19:56.239299Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T13:16:42.121188Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.465,0.475,0.475,0.47,0.455,0.465,0.455,0.46,0.455,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.465,0.455,0.455,0.465,0.455]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244951","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-3b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$3B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.23,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:07.847408Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":883.9476039999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.786175727844238,"liquidity":2187.6944,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:15.206120Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:15.206120Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-3b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.415,0.395,0.405,0.375,0.415,0.405,0.4,0.41,0.405,0.375,0.405,0.395,0.395,0.38,0.365,0.375,0.385,0.39,0.37,0.395,0.385,0.395,0.395,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.375,0.385,0.37,0.375,0.39,0.385,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.395,0.36]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244954","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-6b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $6B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$6B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.67],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:22.931863Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1445.9994,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T04:25:18.352656Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T21:03:04.911319Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-6b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244950","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$2B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.315,0.685],"probability":0.315,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:13.645853Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1664.256411,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.27973747253418,"liquidity":848.4257,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:08:38.399094Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T09:17:36.677688Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-2b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.315,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.32,0.32,0.315,0.315,0.315]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244952","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-4b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$4B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:03.722722Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2075.748207,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999962,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.203027725219727,"liquidity":3153.6219,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:24:19.265086Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T14:21:15.475268Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-4b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3,0.3,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.31,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.31,0.305,0.305,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244955","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-7b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$7B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.256,0.744],"probability":0.256,"spread":0.486,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:12.648893Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":509.82115699999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.799117088317871,"liquidity":238.73008,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:15.206120Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T14:49:15.206120Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-7b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.256,0.255,0.256,0.254,0.256,0.2535,0.2525,0.255,0.2535,0.256,0.256,0.254,0.256,0.254,0.26,0.263,0.254,0.2615,0.2615,0.254,0.256,0.2535,0.2535,0.256,0.256,0.256,0.254,0.254,0.255,0.257,0.2555]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244956","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-8b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $8B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$8B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:33.960000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":1901.5734,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T04:25:18.352656Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T11:21:05.213389Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-8b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244958","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-10b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$10B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:30.831540Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":238.03268500000004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999981,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.329049110412598,"liquidity":64.9808,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:36:50.369346Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T14:36:50.369346Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-10b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.23,0.275,0.27,0.26,0.265,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.235,0.235,0.23,0.235,0.235,0.275,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.235,0.235,0.275,0.265,0.235,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244953","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-5b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$5B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:29:54.993295Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2758.307058,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.43105125427246,"liquidity":6591.9124,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T14:08:38.399094Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T08:12:47.001239Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-5b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.155,0.165,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.165,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244957","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-9b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $9B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$9B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:07.592000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":319.897,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T11:21:05.213389Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-9b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.095,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2244959","event_id":"478814","slug":"arc-fdv-above-15b-one-day-after-launch","question":"Arc FDV above $15B one day after launch?","group_item_title":"$15B","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-dXuLZoFz3dRE.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-12T21:30:24.685000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":328.1593,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T04:25:18.352656Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T11:21:05.213389Z","added_at":"2026-05-12T21:41:15.527874Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/arc-fdv-above-15b-one-day-after-launch","event_title":"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/478814","as_of":"2026-07-21T15:01:59.088138Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?\" — top market at 64% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}