{"source":"polymarket","id":"481681","ticker":"candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election","slug":"candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election","title":"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.\n\nIf a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T19:06:59.921608Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22160.945026999994,"volume_24hr":158.76,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.563592910766602,"normalized_volume":21.947040557861328,"liquidity":6378.7971,"open_interest":7209.360981000001,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"1372","slug":"united-kingdom","label":"United Kingdom"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101319","slug":"starmer","label":"Starmer"},{"id":"734","slug":"uk","label":"UK"},{"id":"104460","slug":"labour","label":"Labour"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Andy Burnham","top_outcome_probability":0.82,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.014999999999999902,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-7.74,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:26:19.703673Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T16:26:19.703673Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T19:16:26.990254Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election","chart_24h":[17.74,26.35,26.35,26.35,168.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,158.87,151.13,158.76,158.76,158.76,158.76,158.76,158.76],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2252167","event_id":"481681","slug":"will-keir-starmer-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","question":"Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?","group_item_title":"Keir Starmer","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.\n\nIf a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T19:04:37.073803Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9973.276347999998,"volume_24hr":158.76,"prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":140.14999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.61383056640625,"normalized_volume":21.747615814208984,"liquidity":1905.3397,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:31:31.845403Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:29:56.903805Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T19:16:27.221885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election/will-keir-starmer-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","event_title":"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.48,0.545,0.54,0.565,0.55,0.54,0.575,0.575,0.54,0.54,0.575,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.575,0.575,0.57,0.575,0.575,0.575,0.58,0.585,0.585,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2252172","event_id":"481681","slug":"will-andy-burnham-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","question":"Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?","group_item_title":"Andy Burnham","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.\n\nIf a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T19:04:41.044240Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3953.9949029999993,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.014999999999999902,"volume_24h_change":-7.74,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.597488403320312,"liquidity":871.8067,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:49:31.131331Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:47:55.348068Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T19:16:27.221885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election/will-andy-burnham-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","event_title":"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?","chart_24h":[0.805,0.79,0.765,0.755,0.775,0.765,0.76,0.805,0.805,0.805,0.815,0.795,0.815,0.82]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2252168","event_id":"481681","slug":"will-wes-streeting-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","question":"Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?","group_item_title":"Wes Streeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.\n\nIf a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T19:04:39.087168Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5057.434860999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.658655166625977,"liquidity":686.1584,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:17:40.653218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:16:05.276157Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T19:16:27.221885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election/will-wes-streeting-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","event_title":"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55,0.55,0.555,0.555,0.515,0.52,0.515,0.52,0.495,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2252171","event_id":"481681","slug":"will-al-carns-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","question":"Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?","group_item_title":"Al Carns","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.\n\nIf a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T19:04:36.081424Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1431.5301049999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.546813011169434,"liquidity":1265.5293,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T16:13:50.236895Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:47:55.348068Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T19:16:27.221885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election/will-al-carns-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","event_title":"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?","chart_24h":[0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.285,0.29,0.285,0.29,0.3,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.295,0.295,0.3,0.3,0.295,0.295,0.285,0.3,0.3,0.295,0.295,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2252170","event_id":"481681","slug":"will-angela-rayner-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","question":"Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?","group_item_title":"Angela Rayner","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.\n\nIf a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.26,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T19:04:29.246166Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1409.3922929999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.488810539245605,"liquidity":1507.4192,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:31:31.845403Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:16:05.276157Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T19:16:27.221885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election/will-angela-rayner-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","event_title":"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?","chart_24h":[0.235,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.235,0.235,0.23,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.235,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2252169","event_id":"481681","slug":"will-ed-miliband-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","question":"Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?","group_item_title":"Ed Miliband","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.\n\nIf a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election-Z7PIZqj6ex0e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-13T19:04:39.340493Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":335.316517,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.682774543762207,"liquidity":247.4236,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:26.908919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:53:46.985065Z","added_at":"2026-05-13T19:16:27.221885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election/will-ed-miliband-be-a-candidate-in-the-next-labour-party-leadership-election","event_title":"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/481681","as_of":"2026-06-10T16:32:10.586244Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Candidates in next Labour leadership election?\" — top market at 58% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}