{"source":"polymarket","id":"488808","ticker":"ebola-pandemic-in-2026","slug":"ebola-pandemic-in-2026","title":"Ebola pandemic in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ebola-pandemic-in-2026-RskOaCvKgDyf.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ebola-pandemic-in-2026-RskOaCvKgDyf.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T20:24:16.862216Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":215832.22178200007,"volume_24hr":35108.788327,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.58404541015625,"normalized_volume":34.46435546875,"liquidity":123131.153,"open_interest":152159.720797,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"104841","slug":"hantavirus","label":"Hantavirus"},{"id":"570","slug":"pandemics","label":"Pandemics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.075,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":21256.568059999998,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:06.528843Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:06.528843Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T20:27:59.965684Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ebola-pandemic-in-2026","chart_24h":[13857.600267,13857.600267,13230.100267,13256.852954,38269.352954,45642.102954,45642.102954,45642.102954,42649.282954,42649.282954,42649.282954,36399.282954,36399.282954,36399.282954,36461.782954,36461.782954,36461.782954,36568.032954,36569.108221,37069.108221,37069.108221,37069.108221,37069.108221,36844.108221,36844.108221,36955.218221,36953.138221,37365.890908,37770.765908,37770.765908,37569.690641,37912.190641,37748.690641,37973.065641,35108.788327],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2270137","event_id":"488808","slug":"ebola-pandemic-in-2026","question":"Ebola pandemic in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ebola-pandemic-in-2026-RskOaCvKgDyf.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ebola-pandemic-in-2026-RskOaCvKgDyf.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T20:21:34.085497Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":215837.60178200007,"volume_24hr":35114.168327,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":21256.568059999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.82777786254883,"normalized_volume":44.25951385498047,"liquidity":122943.3406,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:56:39.943080Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:55:06.689494Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T20:27:59.978369Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ebola-pandemic-in-2026/ebola-pandemic-in-2026","event_title":"Ebola pandemic in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/488808","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:55.737753Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Ebola pandemic in 2026?\" — top market at 8% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}