{"source":"polymarket","id":"488966","ticker":"us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by","slug":"us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-822","title":"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nU.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.\n\nOnly direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín \"El Chapo\" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-before-april-EiRwQTcBGKTa.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-before-april-EiRwQTcBGKTa.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T22:48:16.425945Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17174.289100000064,"volume_24hr":3824.4362929999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.68755531311035,"normalized_volume":21.7097225189209,"liquidity":20979.217,"open_interest":7092.805546,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"956","slug":"mexico","label":"Mexico"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.325,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1802.1369479999998,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:55:58.222221Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:55:58.222221Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T22:58:17.483676Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-822","chart_24h":[76.348028,76.348028,76.348028,76.348028,76.348028,76.348028,76.348028,76.348028,61.422656,61.422656,51.557069,51.557069,51.557069,50.407646,50.407646,50.407646,50.407646,50.407646,50.407646,50.407646,50.407646,49.117646,49.117646,49.117646,1090.270587,1090.270587,1090.270587,1090.270587,1090.270587,1116.4707139999998,1116.4707139999998,1116.4707139999998,1116.4707139999998,3824.4362929999998,3824.4362929999998],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2270613","event_id":"488966","slug":"us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-june-30","question":"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? ","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nU.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.\n\nOnly direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín \"El Chapo\" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-before-april-EiRwQTcBGKTa.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-before-april-EiRwQTcBGKTa.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T22:44:31.410586Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5870.345773000066,"volume_24hr":1861.1201809999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":1802.1369479999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.164644241333008,"normalized_volume":22.093849182128906,"liquidity":4443.9263,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T21:32:59.713514Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T21:31:36.162669Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T22:58:17.505957Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-822/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-june-30","event_title":"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.33,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.335,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2270612","event_id":"488966","slug":"us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-may-31","question":"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? ","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nU.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.\n\nOnly direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín \"El Chapo\" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-before-april-EiRwQTcBGKTa.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-before-april-EiRwQTcBGKTa.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-15T22:44:34.673362Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11303.943326999997,"volume_24hr":1963.316112,"prob_24h_change":-0.029999999999999985,"volume_24h_change":1960.876689,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.480316162109375,"normalized_volume":25.55584716796875,"liquidity":14207.6856,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T21:32:59.713514Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T21:31:36.162669Z","added_at":"2026-05-15T22:58:17.505957Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-822/us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-may-31","event_title":"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?","chart_24h":[0.145,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.12,0.115]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/488966","as_of":"2026-05-26T23:06:00.997332Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?\" — top market at 12% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}