{"source":"polymarket","id":"492836","ticker":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06","title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","description":"This market will resolve to \"Ariane Carnelossi\" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Ketlen Souza\" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:44:49.035294Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1859.191484,"volume_24hr":1614.589695,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.454378128051758,"normalized_volume":12.775578498840332,"liquidity":6647.5081,"open_interest":1838.266696,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"279","slug":"ufc","label":"UFC"},{"id":"100639","slug":"games","label":"Games"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","top_outcome_probability":0.68,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.17000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.450703,"updated_at":"2026-06-01T02:02:06.854971Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T02:02:06.854971Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.672322Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06","chart_24h":[227.621557,227.621557,227.621557,230.478697,230.478697,234.978697,234.978697,234.978697,234.978697,234.978697,234.978697,246.384947,246.384947,246.69923,244.16798,244.16798,244.16798,244.16798,244.16798,244.16798,242.725124,243.52582800000002,243.52582800000002,908.746531,908.746531,908.746531,908.746531,883.746531,1084.755461,1447.929695,1447.929695,1447.929695,1614.589695,1614.589695,1614.589695],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280101","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-totals-2pt5","question":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 2.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\n“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.32],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:41:15.465290Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.450703,"volume_24hr":1.450703,"prob_24h_change":0.17000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":1.450703,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.29605013132095337,"normalized_volume":0.2357369065284729,"liquidity":636.3749,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-06-01T01:07:46.103437Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T22:05:01.640144Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-totals-2pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.51,0.65,0.5,0.505,0.675,0.675,0.68,0.68,0.41,0.405,0.46,0.68,0.68]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280088","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06","question":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","group_item_title":"Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza","description":"This market will resolve to \"Ariane Carnelossi\" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Ketlen Souza\" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Ariane Carnelossi","Ketlen Souza"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:33:25.461423Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1857.740781,"volume_24hr":1613.138992,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":1385.517435,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.103422164916992,"normalized_volume":16.625225067138672,"liquidity":5038.1894,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-06-01T00:26:26.248498Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T00:25:04.291460Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.315,0.315,0.315,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.305,0.3]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280090","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-go-the-distance","question":"Fight to Go the Distance?","group_item_title":"Fight to Go the Distance?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" \n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.515,0.485],"probability":0.515,"spread":0.69,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:36:30.764245Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":50.7807,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-06-01T01:49:29.359632Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T01:48:18.231300Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-go-the-distance","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.51,0.495,0.515,0.495,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.51,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.515,0.515,0.505,0.515,0.515,0.505,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280098","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-win-by-submission","question":"Will the fight be won by submission?","group_item_title":"Fight won by submission?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.515,0.485],"probability":0.515,"spread":0.65,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:38:43.724943Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":50.2587,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-06-01T01:49:29.359632Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T01:48:18.231300Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-win-by-submission","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.505,0.51,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.505,0.515,0.515,0.505,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.515]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280096","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-souza-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Ketlen Souza win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Souza to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ketlen Souza defeats Ariane Carnelossi at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:36:04.151919Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":48.8075,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-06-01T01:49:29.359632Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T01:48:18.231300Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-souza-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.515,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280099","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-totals-0pt5","question":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 0.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.92,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:33:17.317908Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15.3583,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-06-01T01:49:29.359632Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T07:54:52.631560Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-totals-0pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.51,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280094","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-carnelossi-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will Ariane Carnelossi win by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Carnelossi to win by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ariane Carnelossi defeats Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.73,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:36:44.432418Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":49.2566,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-06-01T01:49:29.359632Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T01:48:18.231300Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-carnelossi-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.505,0.495,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.51,0.495,0.495,0.51,0.495,0.505,0.51,0.495,0.505,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.495,0.505,0.52,0.505,0.505,0.52,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280100","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-totals-1pt5","question":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","group_item_title":"O/U 1.5 Rounds","description":"Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcome_prices":[0.505,0.495],"probability":0.505,"spread":0.91,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:35:35.401559Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":40.9306,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-05-31T23:58:25.718472Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T23:57:17.692570Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-totals-1pt5","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.51,0.51,0.505]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2280093","event_id":"492836","slug":"ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-win-by-ko-tko","question":"Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?","group_item_title":"Fight won by KO/TKO?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-16T23:39:54.976790Z","end_date":"2026-06-07T03:59:59.999000Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":49.0578,"categories":["Sports"],"updated_at":"2026-06-01T01:34:34.677868Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-01T01:34:34.677868Z","added_at":"2026-05-16T23:45:04.730647Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06/ufc-ari1-ket1-2026-06-06-win-by-ko-tko","event_title":"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.495,0.51,0.495,0.495,0.51,0.495,0.505,0.51,0.495,0.505,0.51,0.495,0.505,0.505,0.51,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/492836","as_of":"2026-06-01T02:09:16.524928Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)\" — top market at 30% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}