{"source":"polymarket","id":"498617","ticker":"ky-04-republican-primary-turnout","slug":"ky-04-republican-primary-turnout","title":"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout","description":"The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:24:29.759262Z","end_date":"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48108.030079000004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.487009048461914,"liquidity":21442.69603,"open_interest":6804.911258,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"103950","slug":"kentucky-primary","label":"Kentucky Primary"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"},{"id":"104974","slug":"may-19-primaries","label":"May 19 Primaries"},{"id":"101950","slug":"massie","label":"Massie"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"100-110k","top_outcome_probability":0.9975,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:01:59.334064Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:01:59.334064Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:25:45.391970Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ky-04-republican-primary-turnout","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2293326","event_id":"498617","slug":"will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-between-100000-and-110000-voters","question":"Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?","group_item_title":"100-110k","description":"The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9975,0.0025],"probability":0.9975,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:19:12.541381Z","end_date":"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13470.493920000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.190589904785156,"liquidity":1673.69904,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:10:09.306255Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:53:48.674629Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:25:45.437562Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ky-04-republican-primary-turnout/will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-between-100000-and-110000-voters","event_title":"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2293324","event_id":"498617","slug":"will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-between-80000-and-90000-voters","question":"Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 80,000 and 90,000 voters?","group_item_title":"80-90k","description":"The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:18:58.494104Z","end_date":"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4064.1893820000005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.714454650878906,"liquidity":1106.69215,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:49:31.131331Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:47:59.788824Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:25:45.437562Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ky-04-republican-primary-turnout/will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-between-80000-and-90000-voters","event_title":"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.01,0.0105,0.01,0.0105,0.007,0.0105,0.0105,0.0085,0.01,0.0105,0.01,0.0105,0.0105,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.0105,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.0105,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.0105,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2293328","event_id":"498617","slug":"will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-120000-voters-or-higher","question":"Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be 120,000 voters or higher?","group_item_title":"120k+","description":"The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:19:03.512697Z","end_date":"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15455.943881000005,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.866071701049805,"liquidity":6357.67398,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:08:56.564569Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T22:49:12.359516Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:25:45.437562Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ky-04-republican-primary-turnout/will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-120000-voters-or-higher","event_title":"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.0015,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2293323","event_id":"498617","slug":"will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-below-80000-voters","question":"Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be below 80,000 voters?","group_item_title":"<80k","description":"The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:18:57.001700Z","end_date":"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5312.006659,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.87411117553711,"liquidity":5212.71555,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:26:34.791850Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T00:36:55.271681Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:25:45.437562Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ky-04-republican-primary-turnout/will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-below-80000-voters","event_title":"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2293325","event_id":"498617","slug":"will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-between-90000-and-100000-voters","question":"Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 90,000 and 100,000 voters?","group_item_title":"90-100k","description":"The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:19:11.537182Z","end_date":"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2741.2142519999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.075775146484375,"liquidity":5828.58476,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:26:34.791850Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T18:07:12.812548Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:25:45.437562Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ky-04-republican-primary-turnout/will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-between-90000-and-100000-voters","event_title":"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2293327","event_id":"498617","slug":"will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-between-110000-and-120000-voters","question":"Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?","group_item_title":"110-120k","description":"The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ky-04-republican-primary-winner-1me1dCIzzosm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:19:31.503059Z","end_date":"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7064.181984999999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.149219512939453,"liquidity":7690.05144,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:03:48.108751Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:53:09.856394Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:25:45.437562Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ky-04-republican-primary-turnout/will-turnout-in-the-2026-ky-04-republican-primary-be-between-110000-and-120000-voters","event_title":"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout","chart_24h":[0.0005,0.0005]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/498617","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:13:11.642473Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout\" — top market at 100% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}