{"source":"polymarket","id":"499368","ticker":"will-john-fleming-drop-out","slug":"will-john-fleming-drop-out","title":"Will John Fleming drop out?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-john-fleming-drop-out-5bm3kocXIt9H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-john-fleming-drop-out-5bm3kocXIt9H.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T22:52:27.194813Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2718.5855100000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.729467391967773,"liquidity":1024.6124,"open_interest":178.253469,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104981","slug":"louisiana-primaries","label":"Louisiana primaries"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104980","slug":"louisiana","label":"Louisiana"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.245,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-25.748384,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:10:47.109621Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:10:47.109621Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T22:51:46.173401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-john-fleming-drop-out","chart_24h":[25.748384,25.748384,25.748384,25.748384,25.748384,25.748384,23.218384,23.218384,23.218384,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2295717","event_id":"499368","slug":"will-john-fleming-drop-out","question":"Will John Fleming drop out?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-john-fleming-drop-out-5bm3kocXIt9H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-john-fleming-drop-out-5bm3kocXIt9H.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.27,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T22:49:18.486593Z","end_date":"2026-06-26T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2718.5855100000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":-25.748384,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.04214096069336,"liquidity":1017.5513,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:12:17.592301Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:10:47.532402Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T22:51:46.188684Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-john-fleming-drop-out/will-john-fleming-drop-out","event_title":"Will John Fleming drop out?","chart_24h":[0.155,0.165,0.18,0.155,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.175,0.185,0.22,0.2,0.215,0.245,0.285,0.265,0.25,0.235,0.26,0.325,0.33,0.355,0.355,0.305,0.31,0.3,0.225,0.26,0.25,0.215,0.225,0.205,0.245]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/499368","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:20:46.024339Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will John Fleming drop out?\" — top market at 24% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}